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Serie A
Referee: D Ghersini
Bologna
T S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Benevento
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Benevento
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
57%
52%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 13. · Benevento 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 21 15 4 2 +22 49
2 Inter 21 14 5 2 +28 47
3 Juventus 20 12 6 2 +23 42
4 Roma 21 12 4 5 +9 40
5 Lazio 21 12 4 5 +9 40
6 Napoli 20 12 1 7 +23 37
7 Atalanta 21 10 7 4 +19 37
8 Sassuolo 21 8 7 6 +2 31
9 Verona 21 8 6 7 +3 30
10 Sampdoria 21 8 3 10 -1 27
11 Udinese 21 6 6 9 -5 24
12 Genoa 21 6 6 9 -7 24
13 Bologna 21 6 5 10 -7 23
14 Benevento 21 6 5 10 -17 23
15 Fiorentina 21 5 7 9 -12 22
16 Spezia 21 5 6 10 -10 21
17 Torino 21 2 10 9 -9 16
18 Cagliari 21 3 6 12 -15 15
19 Parma 21 2 7 12 -27 13
20 Crotone 21 3 3 15 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Benevento
1–0 N. Sansone
1′
Nicolás Domínguez 🟨
3′
Half-time 1–0
A. Poli 🔁
↦ N. Domínguez
54′
60′
N. Viola 1–1
K. Glik
Roberto Soriano 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Pasquale Schiattarella
E. Vignato 🔁
↦ N. Sansone
71′
R. Orsolini 🔁
↦ A. Olsen
71′
71′
🔁 R. Insigne
↦ G. Caprari
71′
🔁 M. Sau
↦ Iago Falqué
76′
🔁 D. Foulon
↦ F. Barba
R. Palacio 🔁
↦ J. Schouten
81′
81′
🔁 L. Caldirola
↦ A. Tuia
82′
🔁 B. Dabo
↦ P. Hetemaj
Emanuel Vignato 🟨
84′
90′
🟨 Lorenzo Montipò
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Ł. Skorupski G
23 Danilo D
5 A. Soumaoro D
35 M. Dijks D
14 T. Tomiyasu D
21 R. Soriano M
30 J. Schouten M
8 N. Domínguez M
10 N. Sansone M
11 A. Olsen M
99 M. Barrow F
Bench (12)
16 A. Poli
55 E. Vignato
7 R. Orsolini
24 R. Palacio
34 F. Ravaglia
26 V. Antov
18 A. Baldursson
80 M. Juwara
15 I. M'baye
3 A. Hickey
1 Angelo da Costa
29 L. De Silvestri

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Benevento

4-3-2-1
1 L. Montipò G
13 A. Tuia D
15 K. Glik D
93 F. Barba D
27 F. Depaoli D
56 P. Hetemaj M
28 P. Schiattarella M
10 N. Viola M
44 Iago Falqué M
9 G. Lapadula F
17 G. Caprari M
Bench (12)
19 R. Insigne
25 M. Sau
18 D. Foulon
5 L. Caldirola
14 B. Dabo
20 G. Di Serio
8 A. Tello
58 C. Pastina
21 G. Moncini
12 N. Manfredini
22 I. Lucatelli
7 A. Gaich

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,57
B
4,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.