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2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

T S U S S

1–0

Full-time

Wurzburger Kickers

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Wurzburger Kickers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

55%

15%

Points per game

2,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

45%

70%

Both score Ø 65%

60%

70%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 1

3 Corners 2

6 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 3. · Wurzburger Kickers 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	20	12	5	3	+21	41
2	Bochum	20	12	3	5	+16	39
3	Holstein Kiel	20	11	6	3	+15	39
4	Greuther Furth	20	11	5	4	+17	38
5	Karlsruhe	20	10	3	7	+6	33
6	Hannover	20	10	2	8	+9	32
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	9	5	6	+2	32
8	Erzgebirge Aue	20	8	5	7	+2	29
9	Paderborn	19	7	5	7	+1	26
10	Heidenheim	19	7	5	7	+0	26
11	Regensburg	20	6	7	7	-3	25
12	Nurnberg	20	6	5	9	-5	23
13	Darmstadt	20	6	4	10	-5	22
14	St Pauli	20	5	7	8	-6	22
15	Osnabruck	20	6	4	10	-10	22
16	Sandhausen	20	5	3	12	-17	18
17	Braunschweig	20	4	5	11	-22	17
18	Wurzburger Kickers	20	3	3	14	-21	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	10	7	1	2	+16	22
2	Heidenheim	10	6	3	1	+11	21
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	6	3	1	+6	21
4	Bochum	10	6	2	2	+13	20
5	Hannover	9	6	1	2	+11	19
6	Erzgebirge Aue	10	5	3	2	+5	18
7	Greuther Furth	10	5	2	3	+6	17
8	Paderborn	9	5	2	2	+4	17
9	Holstein Kiel	10	5	2	3	+3	17
10	Regensburg	10	4	3	3	+2	15
11	Sandhausen	10	4	3	3	+0	15
12	Karlsruhe	10	4	2	4	+2	14
13	Braunschweig	11	4	2	5	-6	14
14	St Pauli	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Nurnberg	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Darmstadt	10	3	2	5	-2	11
17	Wurzburger Kickers	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Osnabruck	10	2	1	7	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	10	6	4	0	+12	22
2	Greuther Furth	10	6	3	1	+11	21
3	Hamburg	10	5	4	1	+5	19
4	Karlsruhe	10	6	1	3	+4	19
5	Bochum	10	6	1	3	+3	19
6	Osnabruck	10	4	3	3	-3	15
7	Hannover	11	4	1	6	-2	13
8	Nurnberg	10	3	2	5	-2	11
9	Darmstadt	10	3	2	5	-3	11
10	Erzgebirge Aue	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	2	5	-4	11
12	St Pauli	10	2	4	4	-3	10
13	Regensburg	10	2	4	4	-5	10
14	Paderborn	10	2	3	5	-3	9
15	Heidenheim	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Wurzburger Kickers	10	1	0	9	-14	3
17	Braunschweig	9	0	3	6	-16	3
18	Sandhausen	10	1	0	9	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.