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Serie A
Referee: F Maresca
Cremonese
T U T U S
0–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,4
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
70%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,9
0,5
Conceded
2,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
21 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
4 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 19. · Sampdoria 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 11 9 2 0 +17 29
2 Milan 11 8 2 1 +13 26
3 Lazio 11 7 3 1 +18 24
4 Atalanta 11 7 3 1 +8 24
5 Roma 11 7 1 3 +3 22
6 Udinese 11 6 3 2 +8 21
7 Inter 11 7 0 4 +5 21
8 Juventus 11 5 4 2 +10 19
9 Torino 11 4 2 5 -3 14
10 Salernitana 11 3 4 4 -3 13
11 Sassuolo 10 3 3 4 +0 12
12 Empoli 11 2 5 4 -6 11
13 Bologna 11 2 4 5 -5 10
14 Fiorentina 11 2 4 5 -5 10
15 Monza 11 3 1 7 -9 10
16 Spezia 11 2 3 6 -11 9
17 Lecce 11 1 5 5 -5 8
18 Verona 10 1 2 7 -10 5
19 Cremonese 10 0 4 6 -12 4
20 Sampdoria 10 0 3 7 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Sampdoria
David Okereke ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
5′
6′
🟨 Omar Colley
30′
🟨 Abdelhamid Sabiri
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Augello
↦ N. Murru
46′
🔁 Gonzalo Villar
↦ V. Verre
54′
🔁 M. Léris
↦ I. Pussetto
59′
🟨 Bruno Amione
60′
🔁 M. Gabbiadini
↦ A. Sabiri
61′
🔁 Gerard Yepes
↦ T. Rincón
D. Ciofani 🔁
↦ C. Dessers
65′
Leonardo Sernicola 🟨
67′
Charles Pickel 🟨
69′
Soualiho Meïté 🟨
74′
74′
🟨 Manolo Gabbiadini
78′
O. Colley 0–1
M. Gabbiadini
M. Castagnetti 🔁
↦ C. Pickel
81′
G. Quagliata 🔁
↦ E. Valeri
81′
F. Afena-Gyan 🔁
↦ S. Meïté
82′
C. Buonaiuto 🔁
↦ L. Lochoshvili
82′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
12 M. Carnesecchi G
4 E. Aiwu D
15 M. Bianchetti D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
17 L. Sernicola M
6 C. Pickel M
8 S. Ascacíbar M
28 S. Meïté M
3 E. Valeri M
90 C. Dessers F
77 D. Okereke F
Bench (15)
9 D. Ciofani
19 M. Castagnetti
33 G. Quagliata
20 F. Afena-Gyan
10 C. Buonaiuto
32 G. Escalante
45 M. Sarr
5 J. Vásquez
2 J. Hendry
7 J. Báez
18 P. Ghiglione
13 G. Saro
74 F. Tsadjout
62 T. Milanese
23 C. Acella

Coach: M. Alvini

Sampdoria

4-2-3-1
1 E. Audero G
24 B. Bereszyński D
2 B. Amione D
15 O. Colley D
29 N. Murru D
5 V. Verre M
8 T. Rincón M
11 A. Sabiri M
18 I. Pussetto M
7 F. Đuričić M
10 F. Caputo F
Bench (12)
3 T. Augello
4 Gonzalo Villar
37 M. Léris
23 M. Gabbiadini
28 Gerard Yepes
70 S. Trimboli
13 A. Conti
25 A. Ferrari
22 N. Contini
14 R. Vieira
21 J. Murillo
27 F. Quagliarella

Coach: D. Stanković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U
3,32
B ✓
2,95
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.