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Serie B

Referee: G Aureliano

Ascoli

T U T S U

2–1

Full-time

Cagliari

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%

7 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 8

5 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 12. · Cagliari 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	10	7	0	3	+9	21
2	Genoa	10	6	3	1	+6	21
3	Ternana	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Reggina	10	6	0	4	+11	18
5	Bari	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Brescia	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Sudtirol	10	5	2	3	-1	17
8	Parma	10	4	4	2	+4	16
9	Cagliari	9	4	2	3	+0	14
10	Spal	10	3	4	3	+2	13
11	Modena	10	4	0	6	+1	12
12	Ascoli	9	3	3	3	+0	12
13	Cittadella	10	2	5	3	-4	11
14	Cosenza	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Pisa	10	2	4	4	+0	10
16	Benevento	10	2	3	5	-3	9
17	Venezia	10	2	3	5	-4	9
18	Palermo	10	2	3	5	-6	9
19	Como	10	2	3	5	-9	9
20	Perugia	10	2	1	7	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Reggina	5	4	0	1	+12	12
3	Brescia	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Ternana	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Parma	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Modena	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Spal	5	3	0	2	+4	9
8	Cagliari	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Palermo	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Como	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Cosenza	4	2	0	2	+1	6
14	Genoa	4	1	3	0	+1	6
15	Bari	4	1	2	1	+2	5
16	Pisa	5	1	2	2	+0	5
17	Ascoli	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Benevento	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Perugia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
20	Venezia	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Bari	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Ternana	5	3	0	2	+0	9
4	Sudtirol	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Venezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Parma	5	1	3	1	+1	6
8	Frosinone	5	2	0	3	+0	6
9	Reggina	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	Brescia	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Cagliari	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Pisa	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Benevento	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Cosenza	6	1	2	3	-8	5
15	Spal	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Modena	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Perugia	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Cittadella	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	Palermo	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Como	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.