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Serie A

Referee: M Fabbri

Napoli

U S U S U

3–0

Full-time

Empoli

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 37%

61%

13%

Points per game

2,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

48%

39%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

52%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,02 xG 1,21

63% Possession 37%

17 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 2. · Empoli 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	32	21	8	3	+41	+31.7	71
2	Napoli	31	19	8	4	+23	+18.1	65
3	Atalanta	32	18	7	7	+35	+22.7	61
4	Juventus	32	15	14	3	+19	+13.0	59
5	Bologna	32	15	12	5	+14	+11.7	57
6	Lazio	32	16	8	8	+10	+13.4	56
7	Roma	32	15	9	8	+15	+10.6	54
8	Fiorentina	32	15	8	9	+17	+4.7	53
9	Milan	32	14	9	9	+14	+20.2	51
10	Torino	32	9	13	10	-1	-14.5	40
11	Udinese	32	11	7	14	-10	-9.2	40
12	Genoa	32	9	12	11	-9	-7.7	39
13	Como	32	9	9	14	-8	+2.1	36
14	Verona	32	9	5	18	-29	-15.9	32
15	Cagliari	32	7	9	16	-15	-11.7	30
16	Parma	32	5	13	14	-14	-15.1	28
17	Lecce	32	6	8	18	-29	-21.2	26
18	Venezia	32	4	12	16	-19	-17.8	24
19	Empoli	31	4	12	15	-23	-14.9	24
20	Monza	32	2	9	21	-31	-20.1	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	16	12	3	1	+19	+15.6	39
2	Napoli	15	11	2	2	+12	+14.1	35
3	Juventus	17	9	7	1	+12	+8.6	34
4	Fiorentina	17	10	4	3	+12	+8.1	34
5	Bologna	16	9	6	1	+16	+14.6	33
6	Roma	16	10	2	4	+18	+9.5	32
7	Atalanta	16	8	4	4	+12	+10.5	28
8	Milan	16	7	7	2	+11	+10.6	28
9	Lazio	16	7	7	2	+8	+10.2	28
10	Como	16	6	5	5	+1	+2.1	23
11	Udinese	16	7	2	7	-3	-4.0	23
12	Genoa	16	5	7	4	+0	-1.5	22
13	Torino	15	5	6	4	+1	-6.3	21
14	Cagliari	16	5	4	7	-5	-1.3	19
15	Parma	16	4	5	7	-3	-2.7	17
16	Venezia	16	4	5	7	-3	-2.0	17
17	Lecce	16	3	6	7	-15	-7.7	15
18	Verona	16	4	3	9	-19	-4.3	15
19	Empoli	15	1	6	8	-15	-7.2	9
20	Monza	16	1	5	10	-11	-6.0	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Atalanta	16	10	3	3	+23	+12.2	33
2	Inter	16	9	5	2	+22	+16.0	32
3	Napoli	16	8	6	2	+11	+4.0	30
4	Lazio	16	9	1	6	+2	+3.2	28
5	Juventus	15	6	7	2	+7	+4.4	25
6	Bologna	16	6	6	4	-2	-2.9	24
7	Milan	16	7	2	7	+3	+9.6	23
8	Roma	16	5	7	4	-3	+1.1	22
9	Fiorentina	15	5	4	6	+5	-3.4	19
10	Torino	17	4	7	6	-2	-8.3	19
11	Udinese	16	4	5	7	-7	-5.2	17
12	Genoa	16	4	5	7	-9	-6.2	17
13	Verona	16	5	2	9	-10	-11.6	17
14	Empoli	16	3	6	7	-8	-7.8	15
15	Como	16	3	4	9	-9	+0.0	13
16	Cagliari	16	2	5	9	-10	-10.4	11
17	Parma	16	1	8	7	-11	-12.5	11
18	Lecce	16	3	2	11	-14	-13.5	11
19	Venezia	16	0	7	9	-16	-15.8	7
20	Monza	16	1	4	11	-20	-14.1	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.