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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Empoli
S U T U U
0–2
Full-time
Napoli
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 57%
26%
87%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
30%
61%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,2
3,1
Scored
1,0
2,4
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,58 xG 2,63
46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 13
0 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Empoli 12. · Napoli 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 23 20 2 1 +41 +4.4 62
2 Juventus 23 14 5 4 +19 +2.9 47
3 Inter 23 15 2 6 +17 +6.1 47
4 Roma 23 13 5 5 +11 +3.1 44
5 Milan 23 13 5 5 +9 -1.3 44
6 Lazio 23 12 6 5 +20 +2.1 42
7 Atalanta 23 12 5 6 +16 +2.4 41
8 Bologna 23 9 5 9 -3 -0.7 32
9 Torino 23 8 7 8 -1 +1.9 31
10 Udinese 23 7 9 7 +3 -1.2 30
11 Monza 23 8 5 10 -3 -1.6 29
12 Empoli 23 6 10 7 -7 -1.9 28
13 Lecce 23 6 9 8 -2 -1.0 27
14 Fiorentina 23 6 7 10 -6 +2.3 25
15 Sassuolo 23 6 6 11 -9 -0.2 24
16 Salernitana 23 5 6 12 -19 -5.9 21
17 Spezia 23 4 7 12 -20 -3.4 19
18 Verona 23 4 5 14 -14 -1.2 17
19 Sampdoria 23 2 5 16 -27 -1.8 11
20 Cremonese 23 0 9 14 -25 -4.9 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Napoli
17′
A. Ismajli 1–0
own goal
Liam Henderson 🟨
25′
28′
V. Osimhen 1–1
Half-time 1–1
A. Grassi 🔁
↦ L. Henderson
57′
F. Caputo 🔁
↦ R. Piccoli
57′
Alberto Grassi 🟨
62′
63′
🟨 Hirving Lozano
67′
🟥 Mário Rui
67′
ℹ️ Mário Rui
VAR: Card upgrade
P. Stojanović 🔁
↦ T. Ebuehi
68′
70′
🔁 M. Olivera
↦ H. Lozano
71′
🔁 E. Elmas
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
M. Pjaca 🔁
↦ N. Haas
76′
E. Vignato 🔁
↦ M. Satriano
77′
84′
🔁 G. Simeone
↦ V. Osimhen
93′
🔁 G. Gaetano
↦ A. Zambo Anguissa
93′
🔁 T. Ndombélé
↦ P. Zieliński
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
24 T. Ebuehi D
34 A. Ismajli D
33 S. Luperto D
65 F. Parisi D
32 N. Haas M
8 L. Henderson M
18 R. Marin M
35 T. Baldanzi M
9 M. Satriano F
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (13)
5 A. Grassi
19 F. Caputo
30 P. Stojanović
14 M. Pjaca
55 E. Vignato
21 J. Fazzini
3 L. Cacace
6 K. De Winter
1 S. Perisan
20 D. Degli Innocenti
26 L. Tonelli
4 S. Walukiewicz
22 S. Ujkani

Coach: P. Zanetti

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 A. Rrahmani D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
6 Mário Rui D
99 A. Zambo Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
20 P. Zieliński M
11 H. Lozano F
9 V. Osimhen F
77 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (14)
17 M. Olivera
7 E. Elmas
18 G. Simeone
70 G. Gaetano
91 T. Ndombélé
95 P. Gollini
4 D. Demme
21 M. Politano
31 K. Zedadka
5 Juan Jesus
55 L. Østigård
12 D. Marfella
23 A. Zerbin
19 B. Bereszyński

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,86
U
4,72
B ✓
1,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.