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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Rennes
T S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Montpellier
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Angers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Reims 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Lille 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Lens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -4 0
15 Brest 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Montpellier
0–1 D. Le Tallec
own goal
22′
43′
🟥 Florent Mollet
45′
🟨 Teji Savanier
Half-time 0–1
Steven​ N'Zonzi 🟨
53′
Damien Da Silva 🟨
56′
60′
🟨 Mihailo Ristić
62′
🔁 A. Oyongo
↦ M. Ristić
63′
🔁 S. Sambia
↦ J. Ferri
S. Guirassy 🔁
↦ A. Hunou
65′
Benjamin Bourigeaud 🟨
71′
J. Martin 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
72′
Martin Terrier 🟥
73′
1–1 E. Camavinga
F. Maouassa
77′
Y. Gboho 🔁
↦ E. Camavinga
87′
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ Raphinha
87′
88′
🔁 K. Dolly
↦ T. Savanier
88′
🔁 P. Škuletić
↦ A. Souquet
88′
🔁 S. Benchama
↦ Pedro Mendes
91′
G. Laborde 1–2
A. Oyongo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Rennes

4-3-3
1 R. Salin G
3 D. Da Silva D
6 N. Aguerd D
34 B. Soppy D
15 S. Nzonzi M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
23 A. Hunou F
17 F. Maouassa D
21 M. Terrier F
10 E. Camavinga M
7 Raphinha F
Bench (9)
18 S. Guirassy
28 J. Martin
19 Y. Gboho
22 R. Del Castillo
24 L. Brassier
30 P. Bonet
26 J. Gelin
20 F. Tait
11 M. Niang

Coach: J. Stéphan

Montpellier

3-5-1-1
1 J. Omlin G
3 D. Congré D
2 A. Souquet M
5 Pedro Mendes D
14 D. Le Tallec D
12 J. Ferri M
25 F. Mollet M
11 T. Savanier F
7 M. Ristić M
13 J. Chotard M
10 G. Laborde F
Bench (9)
8 A. Oyongo
6 S. Sambia
20 K. Dolly
32 P. Škuletić
26 S. Benchama
16 D. Bertaud
23 T. Vargas
27 C. Vidal
33 A. Achour

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,04
U
3,28
B
3,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.