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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Rennes

U S T U T

2–1

Full-time

Nimes

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 38%

48%

28%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

36%

48%

Both score Ø 44%

48%

40%

Average goals

2,1

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

26 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 2

12 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rennes 4. · Nimes 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	25	20	2	3	+46	62
2	Marseille	26	15	7	4	+11	52
3	Lille	26	13	4	9	+6	43
4	Rennes	25	12	5	8	+6	41
5	Monaco	26	11	6	9	+1	39
6	Strasbourg	26	11	5	10	+3	38
7	Lyon	26	10	7	9	+14	37
8	Reims	26	9	10	7	+4	37
9	Montpellier	26	10	7	9	+3	37
10	Nice	26	10	7	9	+2	37
11	Nantes	26	11	4	11	+0	37
12	Bordeaux	25	9	8	8	+7	35
13	Brest	26	8	10	8	-1	34
14	Angers	26	9	6	11	-8	33
15	St Etienne	26	8	5	13	-14	29
16	Metz	26	6	10	10	-10	28
17	Dijon	26	6	9	11	-7	27
18	Nimes	25	7	6	12	-12	27
19	Amiens	26	4	10	12	-18	22
20	Toulouse	26	3	4	19	-33	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	14	10	2	2	+14	32
2	Paris SG	12	10	1	1	+28	31
3	Montpellier	13	9	2	2	+13	29
4	Marseille	13	8	3	2	+7	27
5	Monaco	13	8	1	4	+7	25
6	Nice	14	7	4	3	+7	25
7	Brest	13	6	6	1	+11	24
8	Strasbourg	13	7	3	3	+8	24
9	Angers	14	7	3	4	+5	24
10	Rennes	12	7	2	3	+5	23
11	Dijon	13	5	6	2	+4	21
12	Nimes	13	6	2	5	+3	20
13	Nantes	13	6	2	5	+1	20
14	Reims	13	4	7	2	+4	19
15	St Etienne	13	4	5	4	-3	17
16	Lyon	12	4	4	4	+8	16
17	Bordeaux	12	4	4	4	+7	16
18	Metz	13	4	4	5	+0	16
19	Amiens	13	3	5	5	-5	14
20	Toulouse	12	3	0	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	1	2	+18	31
2	Marseille	13	7	4	2	+4	25
3	Lyon	14	6	3	5	+6	21
4	Bordeaux	13	5	4	4	+0	19
5	Rennes	13	5	3	5	+1	18
6	Reims	13	5	3	5	+0	18
7	Nantes	13	5	2	6	-1	17
8	Strasbourg	13	4	2	7	-5	14
9	Monaco	13	3	5	5	-6	14
10	Nice	12	3	3	6	-5	12
11	Metz	13	2	6	5	-10	12
12	St Etienne	13	4	0	9	-11	12
13	Lille	12	3	2	7	-8	11
14	Brest	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	Angers	12	2	3	7	-13	9
16	Montpellier	13	1	5	7	-10	8
17	Amiens	13	1	5	7	-13	8
18	Nimes	12	1	4	7	-15	7
19	Dijon	13	1	3	9	-11	6
20	Toulouse	14	0	4	10	-22	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.