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Ligue 1

Referee: W Delajod

Lorient

U U T T U

0–2

Full-time

Montpellier

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 40%

53%

27%

Points per game

1,9

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

73%

67%

Both score Ø 74%

80%

67%

Average goals

3,1

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 7. · Montpellier 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	14	2	0	+35	44
2	Lens	15	11	3	1	+16	36
3	Rennes	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Marseille	15	9	3	3	+13	30
5	Monaco	16	9	3	4	+9	30
6	Lille	16	9	2	5	+6	29
7	Lorient	15	8	4	3	+5	28
8	Lyon	16	7	3	6	+7	24
9	Nice	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	Clermont	16	5	4	7	-6	19
11	Reims	15	3	8	4	-5	17
12	Toulouse	15	4	4	7	-7	16
13	Troyes	16	3	6	7	-5	15
14	Ajaccio	16	4	3	9	-9	15
15	Montpellier	15	4	2	9	-5	14
16	Nantes	16	2	8	6	-7	14
17	Brest	16	3	4	9	-14	13
18	Auxerre	16	3	4	9	-18	13
19	Strasbourg	16	1	8	7	-10	11
20	Angers	16	2	2	12	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	8	8	0	0	+12	24
2	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+13	22
3	Rennes	8	7	0	1	+15	21
4	Lyon	8	5	2	1	+10	17
5	Marseille	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Lille	8	5	1	2	+0	16
7	Lorient	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Toulouse	8	3	3	2	-1	12
9	Monaco	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Nantes	7	2	4	1	+2	10
11	Montpellier	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Clermont	8	3	1	4	-7	10
13	Troyes	8	1	6	1	-1	9
14	Auxerre	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Reims	7	2	3	2	-3	9
16	Nice	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Ajaccio	8	2	1	5	-6	7
18	Brest	8	1	3	4	-10	6
19	Strasbourg	8	0	5	3	-6	5
20	Angers	8	1	1	6	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+22	22
2	Monaco	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Lorient	8	4	3	1	+2	15
4	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Lille	8	4	1	3	+6	13
6	Lens	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Nice	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Rennes	7	2	4	1	+2	10
9	Clermont	8	2	3	3	+1	9
10	Reims	8	1	5	2	-2	8
11	Ajaccio	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Lyon	8	2	1	5	-3	7
13	Brest	8	2	1	5	-4	7
14	Troyes	8	2	0	6	-4	6
15	Strasbourg	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Montpellier	7	1	1	5	-3	4
17	Toulouse	7	1	1	5	-6	4
18	Nantes	9	0	4	5	-9	4
19	Angers	8	1	1	6	-11	4
20	Auxerre	8	1	1	6	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.