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La Liga

Referee: Jorge Figueroa

Girona

U S S S T

2–2

Full-time

Vallecano

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 36%

29%

43%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 72%

86%

57%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 13. · Vallecano 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	12	1	1	+28	37
2	Real Madrid	14	11	2	1	+19	35
3	Sociedad	14	8	2	4	+2	26
4	Ath Bilbao	14	7	3	4	+10	24
5	Ath Madrid	14	7	3	4	+7	24
6	Betis	14	7	3	4	+5	24
7	Osasuna	14	7	2	5	+2	23
8	Vallecano	14	6	4	4	+4	22
9	Villarreal	14	6	3	5	+5	21
10	Valencia	14	5	4	5	+7	19
11	Mallorca	14	5	4	5	+0	19
12	Valladolid	14	5	2	7	-8	17
13	Girona	14	4	4	6	-2	16
14	Almeria	14	5	1	8	-6	16
15	Getafe	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Espanol	14	2	6	6	-6	12
17	Celta	14	3	3	8	-12	12
18	Sevilla	14	2	5	7	-9	11
19	Cadiz	14	2	5	7	-17	11
20	Elche	14	0	4	10	-21	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Ath Bilbao	8	5	1	2	+8	16
4	Betis	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Almeria	7	5	0	2	+5	15
6	Osasuna	8	5	0	3	+3	15
7	Vallecano	7	4	2	1	+5	14
8	Valencia	8	4	1	3	+8	13
9	Valladolid	7	4	1	2	+2	13
10	Girona	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Sociedad	7	3	2	2	-2	11
12	Villarreal	5	3	1	1	+5	10
13	Ath Madrid	6	2	2	2	+1	8
14	Celta	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Mallorca	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Getafe	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Cadiz	7	1	3	3	-8	6
18	Espanol	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Sevilla	7	0	3	4	-7	3
20	Elche	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+11	18
2	Real Madrid	7	6	0	1	+10	18
3	Ath Madrid	8	5	1	2	+6	16
4	Sociedad	7	5	0	2	+4	15
5	Mallorca	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Villarreal	9	3	2	4	+0	11
7	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Osasuna	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Sevilla	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Betis	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Espanol	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Valencia	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Girona	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Cadiz	7	1	2	4	-9	5
17	Valladolid	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Celta	7	1	1	5	-11	4
19	Elche	7	0	2	5	-12	2
20	Almeria	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.