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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
West Ham
T S T U T
0–2
Full-time
Liverpool
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
This season — Premier League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 61%
26%
96%
Points per game
1,0
2,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
52%
70%
Both score Ø 57%
52%
61%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

29% Possession 71%
7 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 17. · Liverpool 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 23 22 1 0 +39 67
2 Man City 24 16 3 5 +38 51
3 Leicester 24 15 3 6 +28 48
4 Chelsea 24 12 4 8 +9 40
5 Man United 24 9 7 8 +7 34
6 Tottenham 24 9 7 8 +6 34
7 Wolves 24 8 10 6 +3 34
8 Sheffield United 24 8 9 7 +2 33
9 Southampton 24 9 4 11 -11 31
10 Arsenal 24 6 12 6 -2 30
11 Crystal Palace 24 7 9 8 -6 30
12 Everton 24 8 6 10 -7 30
13 Burnley 24 9 3 12 -10 30
14 Newcastle 24 8 6 10 -12 30
15 Brighton 24 6 7 11 -7 25
16 Aston Villa 24 7 4 13 -14 25
17 West Ham 23 6 5 12 -11 23
18 Bournemouth 24 6 5 13 -14 23
19 Watford 24 5 8 11 -15 23
20 Norwich 24 4 5 15 -23 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham Liverpool
Issa Diop 🟨
34′
35′
⚽ Mohamed Salah 0–1
Mark Noble 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–2
52′
⚽ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain 0–2
Mohamed Salah
Pablo Fornals 🔁
↦ M. Lanzini
69′
69′
🔁 Fabinho
↦ D. Origi
77′
🔁 N. Keïta
↦ T. Alexander-Arnold
85′
🔁 C. Jones
↦ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

West Ham

5-4-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
21 A. Ogbonna D
3 A. Cresswell D
26 A. Masuaku D
23 I. Diop D
16 M. Noble M
11 R. Snodgrass M
10 M. Lanzini M
41 D. Rice M
22 S. Haller F
52 J. Ngakia D
Bench (7)
18 Pablo Fornals
27 A. Ajeti
15 C. Sánchez
20 Gonçalo Cardoso
5 P. Zabaleta
35 D. Randolph
4 F. Balbuena

Coach: D. Moyes

Liverpool

4-3-3
1 Alisson G
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
12 J. Gomez D
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
14 J. Henderson M
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
9 Roberto Firmino F
11 Mohamed Salah F
27 D. Origi F
Bench (7)
3 Fabinho
8 N. Keïta
48 C. Jones
6 D. Lovren
13 Adrián
18 T. Minamino
32 J. Matip

Coach: J. Klopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,76
U
5,55
B ✓
1,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,44
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.