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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Tottenham
S T S U T
0–1
Full-time
Liverpool
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,5
This season — Premier League · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 67%
38%
95%
Points per game
1,4
2,9
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
71%
75%
Both score Ø 68%
71%
65%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

33% Possession 67%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 8. · Liverpool 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 20 19 1 0 +35 58
2 Leicester 22 14 3 5 +26 45
3 Man City 21 14 2 5 +32 44
4 Chelsea 22 12 3 7 +10 39
5 Man United 22 9 7 6 +11 34
6 Sheffield United 22 8 8 6 +3 32
7 Wolves 22 7 10 5 +3 31
8 Tottenham 21 8 6 7 +6 30
9 Crystal Palace 22 7 8 7 -4 29
10 Arsenal 22 6 10 6 -2 28
11 Everton 22 8 4 10 -7 28
12 Southampton 22 8 4 10 -12 28
13 Newcastle 22 7 5 10 -13 26
14 Brighton 22 6 6 10 -5 24
15 Burnley 22 7 3 12 -13 24
16 West Ham 21 6 4 11 -8 22
17 Aston Villa 21 6 3 12 -10 21
18 Bournemouth 21 5 5 11 -12 20
19 Watford 21 4 7 10 -17 19
20 Norwich 22 3 5 14 -23 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Liverpool
23′
🟨 Joe Gomez
37′
Roberto Firmino 0–1
Mohamed Salah
39′
🟨 Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
Half-time 0–1
61′
🔁 A. Lallana
↦ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
G. Lo Celso 🔁
↦ C. Eriksen
69′
E. Lamela 🔁
↦ D. Rose
69′
81′
🔁 D. Origi
↦ S. Mané
91′
🔁 X. Shaqiri
↦ Mohamed Salah
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-4-2
22 P. Gazzaniga G
3 D. Rose D
4 T. Alderweireld D
24 S. Aurier M
6 D. Sánchez D
39 J. Tanganga D
23 C. Eriksen M
27 Lucas Moura F
20 D. Alli F
8 H. Winks M
7 Son Heung-Min M
Bench (7)
18 G. Lo Celso
11 E. Lamela
19 R. Sessegnon
29 O. Skipp
13 M. Vorm
15 E. Dier
5 J. Vertonghen

Coach: José Mourinho

Liverpool

4-3-3
1 Alisson G
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
12 J. Gomez D
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
14 J. Henderson M
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
9 Roberto Firmino F
11 Mohamed Salah F
10 S. Mané F
Bench (7)
20 A. Lallana
27 D. Origi
23 X. Shaqiri
76 N. Williams
18 T. Minamino
47 N. Phillips
13 Adrián

Coach: J. Klopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,59
U
4,22
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Atkinson · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.