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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Portimonense
U U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Santa Clara
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
10%
30%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,0
1,4
Scored
0,6
0,6
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portimonense 17. · Santa Clara 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 11 10 0 1 +21 30
2 Porto 11 9 1 1 +20 28
3 Famalicao 10 7 2 1 +7 23
4 Sp Lisbon 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Guimaraes 10 4 4 2 +7 16
6 Tondela 11 4 4 3 +1 16
7 Boavista 10 3 6 1 +3 15
8 Santa Clara 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Rio Ave 10 3 3 4 +1 12
10 Setubal 10 2 6 2 -3 12
11 Sp Braga 11 3 3 5 -4 12
12 Moreirense 11 2 5 4 -2 11
13 Gil Vicente 11 2 5 4 -4 11
14 Maritimo 11 2 5 4 -5 11
15 Belenenses 10 3 2 5 -8 11
16 Vitoria Setubal 9 1 6 2 -4 9
17 Portimonense 10 1 4 5 -8 7
18 Pacos Ferreira 10 1 2 7 -11 5
19 Aves 10 1 0 9 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Santa Clara
Pedro Sá 🟨
4′
1–0 Jadson
E. Hackman
20′
36′
🟨 Nene
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Thiago Santana
58′
🔁 Carlos
↦ João Lucas
58′
🔁 Lincoln
↦ Bruno Lamas
Emmanuel Hackman 🟨
64′
Anderson Oliveira 🔁
↦ Aylton Boa Morte
73′
Rodrigo 🟨
75′
Fernando Medeiros 🔁
↦ Bruno Tabata
81′
J. Cevallos 🔁
↦ Lucas Fernandes
89′
Lucas Possignolo 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 Ukra
↦ Lucas Marques
97′
Rodrigo 2–0
own goal
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Portimonense

3-4-3
1 Ricardo Ferreira G
3 Lucas Possignolo D
22 K. Anzai M
4 Jadson D
6 E. Hackman M
92 Rodrigo
21 Pedro Sá M
29 Lucas Fernandes M
10 Bruno Tabata F
9 J. Martínez F
77 Aylton Boa Morte F
Bench (7)
17 Anderson Oliveira
96 Fernando Medeiros
25 J. Cevallos
16 S. Gonda
5 Rômulo
95 Iury
11 M. Moreno

Coach: António Folha

Santa Clara

3-5-2
99 Marco Pereira G
12 César Martins D
5 João Afonso D
2 Rafael Ramos M
15 João Lucas M
3 Z. Sanusi D
21 Nené M
10 Bruno Lamas M
33 Lucas Marques M
70 Zé Manuel F
14 Thiago Santana F
Bench (7)
13 Carlos
17 Lincoln
7 Ukra
1 André Ferreira
88 Chico Ramos
6 Osama Rashid
18 A. Stephens

Coach: João Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U ✓
3,19
B
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.