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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Godinho

Sp Lisbon

S U S S S

1–0

Full-time

Boavista

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Boavista

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 48%

77%

19%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

35%

48%

Both score Ø 46%

39%

52%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

17 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 1. · Boavista 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	31	24	7	0	+41	79
2	Porto	32	22	8	2	+38	74
3	Benfica	32	21	7	4	+39	70
4	Sp Braga	32	18	6	8	+19	60
5	Pacos Ferreira	32	14	8	10	+0	50
6	Guimaraes	31	12	6	13	-4	42
7	Santa Clara	32	11	7	14	+2	40
8	Belenenses	32	9	13	10	-4	40
9	Moreirense	32	9	13	10	-8	40
10	Gil Vicente	32	10	6	16	-10	36
11	Tondela	32	10	6	16	-19	36
12	Portimonense	32	9	7	16	-6	34
13	Famalicao	31	8	10	13	-9	34
14	Maritimo	32	10	4	18	-16	34
15	Rio Ave	32	6	13	13	-13	31
16	Boavista	31	6	12	13	-11	30
17	Farense	32	6	10	16	-14	28
18	Nacional	32	6	7	19	-25	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	16	12	3	1	+21	39
2	Sp Lisbon	15	11	4	0	+19	37
3	Benfica	16	11	3	2	+15	36
4	Sp Braga	16	10	3	3	+11	33
5	Pacos Ferreira	16	10	3	3	+6	33
6	Tondela	16	8	2	6	-2	26
7	Santa Clara	16	6	5	5	+6	23
8	Belenenses	16	6	5	5	-1	23
9	Portimonense	16	6	4	6	+3	22
10	Guimaraes	15	7	1	7	-3	22
11	Moreirense	16	3	10	3	-2	19
12	Rio Ave	16	4	6	6	-3	18
13	Maritimo	16	5	2	9	-11	17
14	Boavista	16	4	4	8	-6	16
15	Gil Vicente	16	4	4	8	-6	16
16	Famalicao	16	3	7	6	-8	16
17	Farense	16	3	6	7	-2	15
18	Nacional	16	4	3	9	-10	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	16	13	3	0	+22	42
2	Porto	16	10	5	1	+17	35
3	Benfica	16	10	4	2	+24	34
4	Sp Braga	16	8	3	5	+8	27
5	Moreirense	16	6	3	7	-6	21
6	Guimaraes	16	5	5	6	-1	20
7	Gil Vicente	16	6	2	8	-4	20
8	Famalicao	15	5	3	7	-1	18
9	Belenenses	16	3	8	5	-3	17
10	Santa Clara	16	5	2	9	-4	17
11	Maritimo	16	5	2	9	-5	17
12	Pacos Ferreira	16	4	5	7	-6	17
13	Boavista	15	2	8	5	-5	14
14	Rio Ave	16	2	7	7	-10	13
15	Farense	16	3	4	9	-12	13
16	Portimonense	16	3	3	10	-9	12
17	Nacional	16	2	4	10	-15	10
18	Tondela	16	2	4	10	-17	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.