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Süper Lig
Referee: Mete Kalkavan
Kasimpasa
U T T S S
3–1
Full-time
Ankaragücü
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 28%
29%
26%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
61%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
27 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kasimpasa 15. · Ankaragücü 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 38 25 6 7 +45 81
2 Fenerbahce 38 24 7 7 +31 79
3 Galatasaray 38 24 6 8 +39 78
4 Trabzonspor 39 18 14 7 +12 68
5 Hatayspor 39 17 10 12 +10 61
6 Sivasspor 38 14 17 7 +9 59
7 Alanyaspor 38 16 9 13 +13 57
8 Gaziantep 38 14 13 11 +8 55
9 Karagumruk 38 14 12 12 +7 54
10 Goztep 38 13 12 13 +3 51
11 Konyaspor 39 12 13 14 +1 49
12 Yeni Malatyaspor 39 10 15 14 -2 45
13 Rizespor 38 11 12 15 -15 45
14 Buyuksehyr 38 11 11 16 -14 44
15 Kasimpasa 38 11 10 17 -11 43
16 Antalyaspor 39 9 16 14 -14 43
17 Kayserispor 38 9 13 16 -16 40
18 Ankaragücü 38 10 8 20 -16 38
19 Erzurumspor 39 9 10 20 -25 37
20 Genclerbirligi 38 9 8 21 -33 35
21 Denizlispor 38 6 10 22 -32 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,22
U
3,54
B
3,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mete Kalkavan · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.