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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vitor Ferreira

Sp Braga

S S T S S

0–0

Full-time

Santa Clara

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Santa Clara

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 42%

57%

26%

Points per game

1,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

52%

65%

Both score Ø 57%

48%

65%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 8

3 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Sp Braga 4. · Santa Clara 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	24	20	4	0	+42	64
2	Sp Lisbon	24	18	4	2	+31	58
3	Benfica	24	17	3	4	+41	54
4	Sp Braga	23	13	5	5	+17	44
5	Gil Vicente	24	11	8	5	+11	41
6	Guimaraes	24	8	6	10	+0	30
7	Estoril	24	7	9	8	-2	30
8	Portimonense	24	7	8	9	-2	29
9	Maritimo	24	7	8	9	-3	29
10	Pacos Ferreira	24	6	9	9	-7	27
11	Famalicao	24	6	8	10	-7	26
12	Boavista	24	4	13	7	-8	25
13	Santa Clara	23	6	7	10	-15	25
14	Vizela	24	5	9	10	-14	24
15	Arouca	24	5	7	12	-20	22
16	Moreirense	24	4	8	12	-16	20
17	Tondela	24	6	2	16	-17	20
18	Belenenses	24	3	6	15	-31	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Sp Lisbon	12	10	1	1	+17	31
3	Benfica	12	8	1	3	+18	25
4	Sp Braga	12	7	3	2	+12	24
5	Guimaraes	11	6	2	3	+7	20
6	Santa Clara	12	5	4	3	-5	19
7	Gil Vicente	12	5	3	4	+4	18
8	Boavista	12	3	8	1	+3	17
9	Maritimo	12	3	6	3	+3	15
10	Famalicao	12	3	5	4	-1	14
11	Pacos Ferreira	12	3	5	4	-2	14
12	Vizela	13	3	5	5	-5	14
13	Moreirense	11	3	3	5	-1	12
14	Estoril	12	2	6	4	-2	12
15	Tondela	12	4	0	8	-7	12
16	Arouca	12	3	2	7	-15	11
17	Belenenses	12	3	2	7	-16	11
18	Portimonense	12	2	4	6	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Benfica	12	9	2	1	+23	29
3	Sp Lisbon	12	8	3	1	+14	27
4	Gil Vicente	12	6	5	1	+7	23
5	Sp Braga	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Portimonense	12	5	4	3	+4	19
7	Estoril	12	5	3	4	+0	18
8	Maritimo	12	4	2	6	-6	14
9	Pacos Ferreira	12	3	4	5	-5	13
10	Famalicao	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Arouca	12	2	5	5	-5	11
12	Guimaraes	13	2	4	7	-7	10
13	Vizela	11	2	4	5	-9	10
14	Tondela	12	2	2	8	-10	8
15	Boavista	12	1	5	6	-11	8
16	Moreirense	13	1	5	7	-15	8
17	Santa Clara	11	1	3	7	-10	6
18	Belenenses	12	0	4	8	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.