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Süper Lig

Referee: M Kalkavan

Kasimpasa

S S T U U

1–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

27%

46%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

50%

54%

Both score Ø 66%

62%

69%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 18

6 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 15. · Fenerbahce 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	27	20	6	1	+31	66
2	Konyaspor	27	14	7	6	+13	49
3	Buyuksehyr	27	14	4	9	+13	46
4	Ad. Demirspor	27	12	9	6	+15	45
5	Besiktas	27	12	8	7	+6	44
6	Fenerbahce	26	12	7	7	+10	43
7	Alanyaspor	27	12	7	8	+8	43
8	Hatayspor	27	13	3	11	-1	42
9	Karagumruk	27	11	6	10	-7	39
10	Kayserispor	27	10	8	9	+0	38
11	Gaziantep	27	10	6	11	-3	36
12	Galatasaray	27	9	8	10	-2	35
13	Sivasspor	27	8	10	9	+1	34
14	Antalyaspor	27	8	8	11	-7	32
15	Kasimpasa	26	7	8	11	-2	29
16	Giresunspor	27	8	5	14	-4	29
17	Goztep	27	7	6	14	-9	27
18	Altay	27	7	4	16	-12	25
19	Rizespor	27	6	5	16	-24	23
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	27	4	5	18	-26	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	14	10	4	0	+15	34
2	Konyaspor	14	9	4	1	+12	31
3	Gaziantep	13	9	3	1	+14	30
4	Kayserispor	13	9	3	1	+14	30
5	Besiktas	13	9	2	2	+9	29
6	Buyuksehyr	14	9	1	4	+10	28
7	Hatayspor	13	8	2	3	+10	26
8	Fenerbahce	13	7	3	3	+10	24
9	Ad. Demirspor	13	6	5	2	+12	23
10	Alanyaspor	14	6	4	4	+8	22
11	Antalyaspor	13	6	4	3	+7	22
12	Karagumruk	13	6	4	3	+5	22
13	Galatasaray	14	6	3	5	+3	21
14	Sivasspor	14	4	8	2	+8	20
15	Rizespor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
16	Kasimpasa	13	5	4	4	+4	19
17	Giresunspor	14	5	2	7	-1	17
18	Altay	13	4	2	7	-4	14
19	Goztep	14	4	2	8	-4	14
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	13	2	3	8	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	13	10	2	1	+16	32
2	Ad. Demirspor	14	6	4	4	+3	22
3	Alanyaspor	13	6	3	4	+0	21
4	Fenerbahce	13	5	4	4	+0	19
5	Buyuksehyr	13	5	3	5	+3	18
6	Konyaspor	13	5	3	5	+1	18
7	Karagumruk	14	5	2	7	-12	17
8	Hatayspor	14	5	1	8	-11	16
9	Besiktas	14	3	6	5	-3	15
10	Galatasaray	13	3	5	5	-5	14
11	Sivasspor	13	4	2	7	-7	14
12	Goztep	13	3	4	6	-5	13
13	Giresunspor	13	3	3	7	-3	12
14	Altay	14	3	2	9	-8	11
15	Kasimpasa	13	2	4	7	-6	10
16	Antalyaspor	14	2	4	8	-14	10
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	14	2	2	10	-13	8
18	Kayserispor	14	1	5	8	-14	8
19	Gaziantep	14	1	3	10	-17	6
20	Rizespor	13	0	3	10	-23	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.