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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Man City
S S U S T
2–0
Full-time
West Ham
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
64%
24%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
80%
52%
Both score Ø 56%
60%
52%
Average goals
3,8
2,9
Scored
2,6
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

77% Possession 23%
20 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man City 2. · West Ham 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 26 25 1 0 +46 76
2 Man City 25 16 3 6 +36 51
3 Leicester 26 15 5 6 +28 50
4 Chelsea 26 12 5 9 +7 41
5 Tottenham 26 11 7 8 +9 40
6 Sheffield United 26 10 9 7 +4 39
7 Man United 26 10 8 8 +9 38
8 Wolves 26 8 12 6 +3 36
9 Everton 26 10 6 10 -4 36
10 Arsenal 26 7 13 6 +2 34
11 Burnley 26 10 4 12 -9 34
12 Southampton 26 9 4 13 -16 31
13 Newcastle 26 8 7 11 -16 31
14 Crystal Palace 26 7 9 10 -9 30
15 Brighton 26 6 9 11 -7 27
16 Bournemouth 26 7 5 14 -14 26
17 Aston Villa 26 7 4 15 -16 25
18 West Ham 25 6 6 13 -13 24
19 Watford 26 5 9 12 -16 24
20 Norwich 26 4 6 16 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Man City West Ham
1–0 Rodri
K. De Bruyne
30′
45′
🟨 Arthur Masuaku
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 P. Zabaleta
↦ R. Fredericks
2–0 K. De Bruyne
Bernardo Silva
62′
J. Stones 🔁
↦ A. Laporte
65′
İ. Gündoğan 🔁
↦ K. De Bruyne
79′
80′
🔁 J. Bowen
↦ R. Snodgrass
P. Foden 🔁
↦ David Silva
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Man City

4-3-3
31 Ederson Moraes G
30 N. Otamendi D
2 K. Walker D
22 B. Mendy D
14 A. Laporte D
21 David Silva M
17 K. De Bruyne M
20 Bernardo Silva F
16 Rodri M
10 S. Agüero F
9 Gabriel Jesus F
Bench (7)
5 J. Stones
8 İ. Gündoğan
47 P. Foden
27 João Cancelo
26 R. Mahrez
1 C. Bravo
25 Fernandinho

Coach: Guardiola

West Ham

5-3-2
1 Ł. Fabiański G
21 A. Ogbonna D
3 A. Cresswell D
26 A. Masuaku D
24 R. Fredericks D
23 I. Diop D
16 M. Noble M
11 R. Snodgrass F
30 M. Antonio F
28 T. Souček M
41 D. Rice M
Bench (7)
5 P. Zabaleta
17 J. Bowen
22 S. Haller
35 D. Randolph
10 M. Lanzini
8 Felipe Anderson
4 F. Balbuena

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
U
9,37
B
18,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,23
U2,5 ✓
4,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.