Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Tromso
Molde
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +23 | 26 |
| 2 |
Stabaek
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 |
Valerenga
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 |
Molde
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +17 | 20 |
| 5 |
Viking
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |
Odd
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |
Lillestrom
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 |
Stromsgodset
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |
Start
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |
Haugesund
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 |
Mjondalen
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 |
Aalesund
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 |
Tromso
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 |
Sandefjord
|
11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -19 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rosenborg
Tromso
Tromso
Odd
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso
Tromso
Valerenga
Mjondalen
Tromso
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.