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Eliteserien

Stabaek

T U U S S

3–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,2

This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

58%

32%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

37%

53%

Both score Ø 53%

42%

63%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 2. · Lillestrom 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	20	15	3	2	+37	48
2	Stabaek	19	11	5	3	+13	38
3	Viking	20	12	1	7	+14	37
4	Valerenga	20	11	3	6	+9	36
5	Odd	20	8	8	4	+9	32
6	Stromsgodset	19	9	3	7	+5	30
7	Molde	19	7	6	6	+16	27
8	Bodo/Glimt	20	8	2	10	-5	26
9	Lillestrom	19	6	7	6	-4	25
10	Aalesund	20	7	4	9	-14	25
11	Haugesund	20	6	6	8	-9	24
12	Sarpsborg 08	20	4	8	8	-7	20
13	Start	20	5	4	11	-13	19
14	Mjondalen	20	4	7	9	-16	19
15	Tromso	20	4	5	11	-12	17
16	Sandefjord	20	3	4	13	-23	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	7	3	0	+19	24
2	Stabaek	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	Viking	10	6	1	3	+5	19
4	Valerenga	10	6	0	4	+6	18
5	Aalesund	10	5	3	2	+2	18
6	Stromsgodset	8	5	2	1	+7	17
7	Molde	10	4	3	3	+12	15
8	Bodo/Glimt	10	5	0	5	+1	15
9	Lillestrom	10	4	3	3	-2	15
10	Mjondalen	11	4	3	4	-6	15
11	Odd	10	3	5	2	+3	14
12	Start	10	4	1	5	-2	13
13	Haugesund	10	3	4	3	-3	13
14	Tromso	10	3	3	4	-5	12
15	Sandefjord	10	3	2	5	-4	11
16	Sarpsborg 08	10	2	3	5	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	8	0	2	+18	24
2	Viking	10	6	0	4	+9	18
3	Odd	10	5	3	2	+6	18
4	Stabaek	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Valerenga	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Stromsgodset	11	4	1	6	-2	13
7	Molde	9	3	3	3	+4	12
8	Sarpsborg 08	10	2	5	3	-2	11
9	Bodo/Glimt	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	Haugesund	10	3	2	5	-6	11
11	Lillestrom	9	2	4	3	-2	10
12	Aalesund	10	2	1	7	-16	7
13	Start	10	1	3	6	-11	6
14	Tromso	10	1	2	7	-7	5
15	Mjondalen	9	0	4	5	-10	4
16	Sandefjord	10	0	2	8	-19	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.