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Pro League
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14. · Charleroi 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 4 2 1 1 +3 7
2 Oostende 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 St Truiden 4 2 1 1 +2 7
4 Genk 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Anderlecht 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Gent 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Charleroi 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Westerlo 4 1 1 2 -1 4
9 Waregem 3 1 0 2 +0 3
10 Beveren 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Mechelen 3 1 0 2 -3 3
12 Kortrijk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Lokeren 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 0 0 3 -5 0
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Charleroi
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Bostock
49′
59′
🔁 F. Stevance
↦ C. Diandy
71′
🔁 R. Ferber
↦ D. Pollet
K. Houdret 🔁
↦ J. Bostock
72′
D. Vandenbroeck 🔁
↦ N. Delporte
80′
L. Trossard 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
82′
82′
🔁 J. Gálvez López
↦ S. Willems
2–0 L. Trossard
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
4 R. Reynaud
5 P. Ngawa
16 K. Rougkalas
25 N. Delporte
8 F. Le Postollec
15 J. Bostock
10 Y. Croizet
7 J. Remacle
23 J. Kostovski
11 A. Cerigioni
Bench (7)
12 K. Houdret
3 D. Vandenbroeck
19 L. Trossard
1 Y. Lenaerts
9 R. Regales
14 T. Azevedo
24 K. Tapoko

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
17 S. Marinos
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
3 S. Willems
25 D. Marcq
13 C. Diandy
28 E. Sağlık
92 N. Kebano
88 D. N'Dongala
10 D. Pollet
Bench (7)
9 F. Stevance
45 R. Ferber
20 J. Gálvez López
19 Clinton Mata
23 K. Geraerts
24 D. Dessoleil
35 P. Mandanda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.