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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Molde
S S S U S
4–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 4. · Lillestrom 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Haugesund 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Bodo/Glimt 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Viking 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Molde 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Odd 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Rosenborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Sogndal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Aalesund 2 1 0 1 -2 3
9 Brann 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Lillestrom 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Tromso 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Start 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Stromsgodset 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Sarpsborg 08 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Stabaek 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Valerenga 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Lillestrom
Harmeet Singh 🟨
3′
1–0 M. Mostrøm
E. Guðjohnsen
5′
16′
F. Friday 1–1
2–1 S. Svendsen
E. Hestad
31′
Eirik Hestad 🟨
33′
39′
🟨 Simen Kind Mikalsen
Half-time 3–1
3–1 H. Singh
S. Svendsen
47′
P. Strand 🔁
↦ S. Svendsen
54′
56′
E. Knudtzon 3–2
M. Martin
64′
🟨 Jacob Faye-Lund
4–2 E. Guðjohnsen
65′
T. Amang 🔁
↦ F. Gulbrandsen
69′
75′
🔁 A. Vilhjálmsson
↦ M. Ofkir
F. Aursnes 🔁
↦ E. Hestad
79′
88′
🟨 Bassel Jradi
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Molde

26 A. Linde G
25 V. Forren D
15 P. Flo D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
32 I. Ssewankambo M
7 H. Singh M
19 E. Hestad M
22 E. Guðjohnsen F
9 M. Mostrøm F
8 F. Gulbrandsen F
11 S. Svendsen F
Bench (7)
14 P. Strand
20 T. Amang
17 F. Aursnes
23 K. Rindarøy
1 E. Horvath
21 Agnaldo Moraes
30 P. Diouf

Lillestrom

12 J. Faye Lund
16 H. Skogseid D
22 M. Jakobsen D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
8 M. Martin M
7 Bassel Jradi M
18 B. Innocent M
11 E. Knudtzon F
23 F. Friday F
20 M. Ofkir M
Bench (6)
9 A. Vilhjálmsson
29 E. Ødegaard
2 M. Falkeborn
30 N. Walstad
5 O. Rindarøy
13 F. Kippe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.