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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Rosenborg
S S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 60%
80%
40%
Points per game
2,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
30%
70%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
0,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
21 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 1. · Lillestrom 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 10 8 1 1 +15 25
2 Molde 10 6 3 1 +7 21
3 Odd 10 6 2 2 +5 20
4 Haugesund 10 5 2 3 +5 17
5 Stromsgodset 10 5 2 3 +3 17
6 Brann 10 5 2 3 +1 17
7 Lillestrom 10 4 4 2 +5 16
8 Viking 10 5 1 4 -1 16
9 Sarpsborg 08 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Sogndal 10 3 3 4 -1 12
11 Bodo/Glimt 11 3 2 6 -3 11
12 Valerenga 10 3 1 6 -3 10
13 Tromso 11 2 4 5 -11 10
14 Aalesund 11 2 2 7 -4 8
15 Stabaek 10 2 1 7 -8 7
16 Start 11 0 5 6 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Lillestrom
1–0 C. Gytkjær
F. Midtsjø
23′
Fredrik Midtsjø 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Konradsen
J. Svensson
48′
72′
🔁 M. Ofkir
↦ E. Knudtzon
G. Thórarinsson 🔁
↦ C. Gytkjær
81′
85′
F. Kippe 2–1
M. Martin
Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rosenborg

1 André Hansen G
5 H. Eyjólfsson D
16 J. Skjelvik D
2 J. Svensson D
20 A. Gersbach D
7 M. Jensen M
8 A. Konradsen M
21 F. Midtsjø M
10 M. Vilhjálmsson F
9 C. Gytkjær F
11 Y. de Lanlay F
Bench (7)
28 G. Thórarinsson
3 M. Dorsin
14 J. Bjørdal
15 E. Rashani
18 M. Stamnestrø
24 Riku Riski
30 P. Londak

Lillestrom

77 A. Origi G
16 H. Skogseid D
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
5 O. Rindarøy M
8 M. Martin M
10 M. Lundemo M
7 Bassel Jradi M
18 B. Innocent M
11 E. Knudtzon F
23 F. Friday F
Bench (6)
20 M. Ofkir
9 A. Vilhjálmsson
12 J. Faye Lund
15 E. Brenden
17 J. Kolstad
22 M. Jakobsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.