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OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad
T T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Raufoss
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Raufoss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
71%
86%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 15. · Raufoss 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sandefjord 8 6 1 1 +10 19
2 Levanger 8 6 1 1 +9 19
3 Kristiansund 7 5 1 1 +6 16
4 Asane 8 4 2 2 +6 14
5 Kongsvinger 7 4 1 2 +6 13
6 Ranheim 8 4 0 4 -3 12
7 Sandnes ULF 8 3 2 3 +3 11
8 Jerv 8 3 2 3 -5 11
9 Strommen 7 2 4 1 +0 10
10 KFUM Oslo 8 2 3 3 -4 9
11 Mjondalen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Raufoss 7 2 1 4 -1 7
13 Bryne 8 1 3 4 -4 6
14 hodd 7 1 2 4 -4 5
15 Fredrikstad 7 1 1 5 -8 4
16 Ull/Kisa 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Raufoss
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Kapidzic
58′
63′
🔁 S. Næss
↦ H. Domingo
65′
A. Aganspahić 1–1
M. Benmoussa 🔁
↦ L. Begby
72′
A. Aalbu 🔁
↦ H. Åsheim
77′
77′
🔁 F. Monsen
↦ Alonso Sanchez
P. Karoliussen 🔁
↦ M. Simonsen
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

30 P. Kristiansen
2 M. Simonsen
26 M. Jensen
4 A. Straith
23 E. Tønne
22 A. Akinyemi
11 K. Brix
20 H. Åsheim
10 S. Kapidzic
28 M. N'Diaye
18 L. Begby
Bench (7)
21 M. Benmoussa
14 A. Aalbu
6 P. Karoliussen
1 H. Jensen
3 N. Sansara
7 B. Rahhaoui
17 M. Kaland

Raufoss

12 C. Tronhus
6 A. Solli
4 S. Hjelmtvedt
2 A. Wrele
11 P. Senstad
16 Gondra
23 K. Onsrud
15 H. Domingo
10 Alonso Sanchez
7 R. Lekaj
27 A. Aganspahić
Bench (7)
19 S. Næss
20 F. Monsen
3 M. Rolandsen
5 A. Jones
1 A. Heggen
14 H. Lysvoll
21 N. Fremstad

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.