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Champions League
Referee: A Madley
Qarabag
T
5–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
2,8
Scored
0,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Jul -22 Lech Poznan – Qarabag 1–0

Match report

Qarabag Lech Poznan
1′
⚽ K. Velde 0–1
1–1 Kady ⚽
14′
Richard Almeida 🟨
19′
Kevin Medina 🟨
30′
2–1 F. Ozobić ⚽
42′
Half-time 2–1
56′
🟨 Antonio Milić
3–1 K. Medina ⚽
56′
R. Şeydayev 🔁
↦ I. Wadji
66′
72′
🔁 F. Szymczak
↦ M. Skóraś
72′
🔁 G. Tsitaishvili
↦ João Amaral
4–1 Kady ⚽
74′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
76′
A. Hüseynov 🔁
↦ M. Vešović
76′
O. Kwabena 🔁
↦ F. Ozobić
77′
5–1 A. Hüseynov ⚽
77′
İ. İbrahimli 🔁
↦ M. Janković
83′
85′
🔁 N. Kvekveskiri
↦ J. Karlström
85′
🔁 B. Douglas
↦ Pedro Rebocho
85′
🔁 F. Marchwiński
↦ R. Murawski
Kady Borges 🟨
89′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
5 M. Medvedev D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev M
8 M. Janković M
7 R. Almeyda M
20 Kady M
19 F. Ozobić M
10 A. Zoubir M
25 I. Wadji F
Bench (12)
77 R. Şeydayev
27 T. Bayramov
30 A. Hüseynov
11 O. Kwabena
18 İ. İbrahimli
13 B. Mustafazadə
4 R. Məmmədov
23 L. Gugeshashvili
55 B. Hüseynov
89 A. Ramazanov
15 Leandro Andrade
22 M. Qurbanlı

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Lech Poznan

4-4-1-1
1 A. Rudko G
2 Joel Pereira D
37 Ľ. Šatka D
16 A. Milić D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
21 M. Skóraś M
22 R. Murawski M
6 J. Karlström M
23 K. Velde M
24 João Amaral M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (10)
17 F. Szymczak
14 G. Tsitaishvili
30 N. Kvekveskiri
3 B. Douglas
11 F. Marchwiński
90 A. Sobiech
31 K. Bąkowski
44 A. Czerwiński
20 M. Pingot
35 F. Bednarek

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.