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Ekstraklasa
Warta Poznan
S S T T S
1–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 47%
31%
63%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 41%
38%
44%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Warta Poznan 11. · Lech Poznan 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 32 20 8 4 +41 68
2 Rakow 32 19 9 4 +28 66
3 Pogon Szczecin 32 18 9 5 +32 63
4 Lechia Gdansk 32 16 8 8 +16 56
5 Piast Gliwice 33 15 8 10 +8 53
6 Cracovia 33 12 10 11 +1 46
7 Wisla Plock 33 14 3 16 -6 45
8 Radomiak Radom 32 10 14 8 +0 44
9 Gornik Zabrze 32 11 8 13 -3 41
10 Legia 33 12 4 17 -5 40
11 Warta Poznan 32 10 9 13 -3 39
12 Jagiellonia 33 8 13 12 -12 37
13 Stal Mielec 32 9 9 14 -10 36
14 Zaglebie 32 10 5 17 -16 35
15 Slask Wroclaw 32 7 13 12 -9 34
16 Wisla 32 7 10 15 -14 31
17 Nieciecza 33 7 10 16 -20 31
18 Leczna 32 6 10 16 -28 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.