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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Napoli
S U S T U
1–1
Full-time
Barcelona
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
4,7
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,87 xG 0,69
49% Possession 51%
6 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Napoli Barcelona
16′
🟨 Frenkie de Jong
Half-time 0–1
60′
R. Lewandowski 0–1
Pedri
H. Traorè 🔁
↦ J. Cajuste
68′
J. Lindstrøm 🔁
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
68′
1–1 V. Osimhen
F. Anguissa
75′
76′
🟨 Iñigo Martínez
G. Raspadori 🔁
↦ M. Politano
77′
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
77′
78′
🟨 Andreas Christensen
80′
🔁 Raphinha
↦ Lamine Yamal
86′
🔁 Oriol Romeu
↦ A. Christensen
86′
🔁 João Félix
↦ Pedri
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
5 Juan Jesus D
17 M. Olivera D
99 F. Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
24 J. Cajuste M
21 M. Politano F
9 V. Osimhen F
77 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (10)
8 H. Traorè
29 J. Lindstrøm
81 G. Raspadori
18 G. Simeone
55 L. Østigård
6 Mário Rui
3 Natan
95 P. Gollini
30 P. Mazzocchi
14 N. Contini-Baranovskyi

Coach: F. Calzona

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
23 J. Koundé D
4 R. Araujo D
5 Íñigo Martínez D
2 João Cancelo D
22 İ. Gündoğan M
15 A. Christensen M
21 F. de Jong M
27 Lamine Yamal F
9 R. Lewandowski F
8 Pedri F
Bench (12)
11 Raphinha
18 Oriol Romeu
14 João Félix
20 Sergi Roberto
33 Pau Cubarsí
30 Marc Casadó
32 Fermín
26 Ander Astralaga
19 Vitor Roque
13 Iñaki Peña
39 Héctor Fort
38 Marc Guiu

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.