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Champions League
Referee: L Cibelli
Panevėžys
T U S T U
3–0
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panevėžys HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
4,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Panevėžys HJK Helsinki
1–0 E. Veliulis ⚽
R. Mazáň
17′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🟨 Georgios Kanellopoulos
Rokas Rasimavicius 🟨
57′
Cheikhou Dieng 🟨
58′
J. Čađenović 🔁
↦ F. Palacios
62′
N. Mbo 🔁
↦ S. Gussiås
62′
2–0 N. Gorobsov ⚽
65′
3–0 N. Mbo ⚽
R. Mazáň
67′
Noel Mbo 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 B. Lyons-Foster
↦ M. Boamah
68′
🔁 L. Erwin
↦ H. Bandé
68′
🔁 K. Palumets
↦ G. Kanellópoulos
68′
🔁 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
↦ N. Pallas
Cheikhou Dieng 🟨
70′
Cheikhou Dieng 🟥
70′
M. Beneta 🔁
↦ E. Veliulis
75′
N. Lukšys 🔁
↦ R. Rasimavičius
85′
85′
🔁 L. Möller
↦ L. Lingman
88′
🟨 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
Nicolas Gorobsov 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Panevėžys

4-1-4-1
22 E. Tîmbur G
32 R. Rasimavičius D
4 K. Dubra D
2 L. Klimavičius D
72 R. Mazáň D
5 N. Gorobsov M
7 E. Veliulis M
31 F. Palacios M
10 Lucas de Vega M
21 C. Dieng F
28 S. Gussiås F
Bench (9)
20 J. Čađenović
36 N. Mbo
29 M. Beneta
17 N. Lukšys
97 A. Karvatskyi
15 M. Cacutalua
1 V. Černiauskas
88 N. Bosančić
13 D. Bukel

Coach: S. Vreven

HJK Helsinki

3-4-2-1
85 N. Mäenpää G
24 M. Boamah D
4 J. Toivio D
45 D. Tomas D
18 T. Keskinen F
8 G. Kanellópoulos M
10 L. Lingman M
30 N. Pallas D
7 S. Hostikka F
17 H. Bandé F
9 L. Plange F
Bench (9)
2 B. Lyons-Foster
94 L. Erwin
80 K. Palumets
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
22 L. Möller
11 A. Olusanya
14 H. Sarpei
37 A. Tanaka
1 J. Öst

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.