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Conference League
Referee: G Kruashvili
PAOK
U S S S S
4–2
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
3,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 44%
73%
14%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
82%
57%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
57%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,1
Conceded
0,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,54 xG 1,19
66% Possession 34%
23 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 4
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 HJK Helsinki – PAOK 2–3

Match report

PAOK HJK Helsinki
6′
⚽ B. Radulović 0–1
H. Bandé
22′
🟨 Santeri Hostikka
William Troost-Ekong 🟨
35′
1–1 M. Ozdoev ⚽
S. Meïté
37′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 G. Konstantelias ⚽
Brandon Thomas
47′
2–2 J. Toivio ⚽
own goal
53′
66′
🔁 A. Olusanya
↦ B. Radulović
66′
🔁 T. Ollila
↦ T. Keskinen
66′
🔁 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
↦ G. Kanellópoulos
66′
🔁 P. Hetemaj
↦ S. Hostikka
A. Baba 🔁
↦ Rafa Soares
71′
Vieirinha 🔁
↦ T. Kędziora
71′
Marcos Antônio 🔁
↦ M. Ozdoev
71′
T. Murg 🔁
↦ G. Konstantelias
75′
S. Tzimas 🔁
↦ Brandon Thomas
80′
80′
🔁 A. Paananen
↦ L. Lingman
3–2 T. Murg ⚽
Taison
85′
91′
⚽ P. Hetemaj 3–3
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
16 T. Kędziora D
15 W. Troost-Ekong D
5 G. Michailidis D
55 Rafa Soares D
27 M. Ozdoev M
8 S. Meïté M
77 K. Despodov M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (12)
21 A. Baba
20 Vieirinha
88 Marcos Antônio
10 T. Murg
95 S. Tzimas
22 S. Schwab
33 M. Samatta
19 L. Lyratzis
6 T. Tsingaras
4 K. Koulierakis
18 Ž. Živković
64 C. Talichmanidis

Coach: R. Lucescu

HJK Helsinki

3-4-3
85 N. Mäenpää G
4 J. Toivio D
5 Kristopher Da Graca D
3 N. Hämäläinen D
23 P. Soiri M
10 L. Lingman M
24 G. Kanellópoulos M
18 T. Keskinen M
7 S. Hostikka F
9 B. Radulović F
17 H. Bandé F
Bench (10)
29 A. Olusanya
2 T. Ollila
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan
56 P. Hetemaj
19 A. Paananen
15 M. Tenho
1 J. Öst
78 A. Ramula
37 A. Tanaka
6 A. Halme

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kruashvili · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.