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Champions League
Referee: Gustavo Correia
Larne
T U T T T
0–4
Full-time
Rīgas FS
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larne Rīgas FS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,2
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jul -24 Rīgas FS – Larne 3–0

Match report

Larne Rīgas FS
Mark Randall 🟨
19′
19′
🟨 Fabrice Ondoa
Chris Gallagher 🟨
20′
Sean Graham 🟨
25′
Andy Ryan 🟨
31′
35′
🟨 Darko Lemajić
38′
⚽ Emerson Deocleciano 0–1
D. Lemajič
Matthew Lusty 🟨
41′
44′
⚽ D. Lemajič 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 H. Njie
↦ A. Markhiev
48′
⚽ J. Ikaunieks 0–3
I. Diomandé
56′
⚽ I. Diomandé 0–4
J. Ikaunieks
D. Sloan 🔁
↦ M. Randall
60′
L. Bonis 🔁
↦ M. Lusty
60′
61′
🔁 C. Kouadio
↦ D. Lemajič
61′
🔁 L. Odisharia
↦ Emerson Deocleciano
61′
🔁 M. Ķigurs
↦ J. Ikaunieks
J. Thomson 🔁
↦ C. McKendry
73′
P. O'Neill 🔁
↦ C. Gallagher
73′
73′
🔁 R. Ndjiki
↦ P. Mareš
B. Altintop 🔁
↦ S. Graham
77′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Larne

4-3-3
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
18 C. Bolger D
4 A. Donnelly D
3 L. Ives M
8 M. Randall M
27 C. Gallagher M
11 S. Graham M
30 M. Lusty M
29 A. Ryan F
7 C. McKendry M
Bench (9)
25 D. Sloan
10 L. Bonis
6 J. Thomson
9 P. O'Neill
5 B. Altintop
36 D. Graham
22 M. Glynn
24 S. Brown
34 O. Devlin

Coach: T. Lynch

Rīgas FS

3-4-3
40 F. Ondoa G
2 D. Balodis D
23 H. Prenga D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
9 J. Ikaunieks M
27 A. Markhiev M
26 S. Panič M
25 P. Mareš D
7 I. Diomandé M
10 Emerson Deocleciano M
22 D. Lemajič F
Bench (12)
30 H. Njie
17 C. Kouadio
8 L. Odisharia
49 M. Ķigurs
15 R. Ndjiki
99 G. Žaleiko
33 D. Cucurs
16 S. Vilkovs
1 P. Šteinbors
70 D. Savič
18 D. Zelenkovs
11 R. Savaļnieks

Coach: V. Morozs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.