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Champions League
Referee: N Simović
Panevėžys
S T U S U
0–4
Full-time
Jagiellonia
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panevėžys Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Panevėžys Jagiellonia
15′
⚽ Jesús Imaz 0–1
K. Hansen
28′
⚽ Jesús Imaz 0–2
M. Sáček
29′
⚽ Jesús Imaz 0–3
Afimico Pululu
Sivert Gussias 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–3
C. Dieng 🔁
↦ F. Palacios
46′
N. Mbo 🔁
↦ S. Gussiås
46′
66′
🔁 Miki Villar
↦ D. Marczuk
67′
🔁 J. Kubicki
↦ Nené
J. Sarpong 🔁
↦ E. Veliulis
75′
78′
🔁 L. Diaby-Fadiga
↦ Afimico Pululu
80′
⚽ K. Hansen 0–4
M. Sáček
82′
🟨 João Moutinho
N. Lukšys 🔁
↦ Lucas de Vega
84′
M. Beneta 🔁
↦ R. Rasimavičius
85′
86′
🔁 A. Nguiamba
↦ João Moutinho
86′
🔁 W. Łaski
↦ K. Hansen
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Panevėžys

4-2-3-1
22 E. Tîmbur G
32 R. Rasimavičius D
4 K. Dubra D
2 L. Klimavičius D
72 R. Mazáň D
20 J. Čađenović M
5 N. Gorobsov M
7 E. Veliulis M
31 F. Palacios M
10 Lucas de Vega M
28 S. Gussiås F
Bench (9)
21 C. Dieng
36 N. Mbo
23 J. Sarpong
17 N. Lukšys
29 M. Beneta
1 V. Černiauskas
15 M. Cacutalua
97 A. Karvatskyi
13 D. Bukel

Coach: S. Vreven

Jagiellonia

4-4-2
50 S. Abramowicz G
16 M. Sáček D
17 Adrián Diéguez D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
44 João Moutinho D
7 D. Marczuk M
6 T. Romanczuk M
8 Nené M
99 K. Hansen M
11 Jesús Imaz M
10 Afimico Pululu F
Bench (10)
20 Miki Villar
14 J. Kubicki
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga
39 A. Nguiamba
77 W. Łaski
19 P. Olszewski
51 A. Rybak
4 J. Haliti
1 M. Stryjek
3 D. Stojinović

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Simović · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.