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Champions League
Referee: S Schärer
Bayern Munich
T S U S S
1–2
Full-time
Inter
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 74%
67%
80%
Points per game
2,1
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
58%
30%
Both score Ø 30%
50%
10%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,30 xG 0,78
58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Nov -22 Bayern Munich – Inter 2–0 7. Sep -22 Inter – Bayern Munich 0–2

Match report

Bayern Munich Inter
Min-jae Kim 🟨
28′
38′
⚽ L. Martínez 0–1
M. Thuram
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Lautaro Martínez
71′
🟨 Henrikh Mkhitaryan
T. Müller 🔁
↦ L. Sané
74′
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
74′
74′
🔁 D. Frattesi
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
S. Boey 🔁
↦ Kim Min-Jae
75′
79′
🔁 Y. Bisseck
↦ M. Darmian
1–1 T. Müller ⚽
K. Laimer
85′
88′
🟨 Davide Frattesi
88′
⚽ D. Frattesi 1–2
Carlos Augusto
90′
🔁 N. Zalewski
↦ L. Martínez
94′
🟨 Nicola Zalewski
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
40 J. Urbig G
27 K. Laimer D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
15 E. Dier D
44 J. Stanišić D
8 L. Goretzka M
6 J. Kimmich M
17 M. Olise M
22 Raphaël Guerreiro M
10 L. Sané M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (10)
25 T. Müller
7 S. Gnabry
23 S. Boey
41 J. Kusi-Asare
16 João Palhinha
18 D. Peretz
48 L. Klanac
46 L. Karl
43 J. Asp Jensen
24 G. Vidović

Coach: V. Kompany

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
28 B. Pavard D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
36 M. Darmian M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
30 Carlos Augusto M
9 M. Thuram F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (12)
16 D. Frattesi
31 Y. Bisseck
59 N. Zalewski
13 Josep Martínez
52 T. Berenbruch
49 G. De Pieri
12 R. Di Gennaro
54 M. Zanchetta
6 S. de Vrij
32 F. Dimarco
8 M. Arnautović
56 G. Re Cecconi

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.