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Champions League
Referee: C Vergetis
Olimpija Ljubljana
S T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Kairat Almaty
T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olimpija Ljubljana Kairat Almaty
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,0
Scored
0,7
0,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Olimpija Ljubljana Kairat Almaty
26′
🟨 Valeriy Gromyko
35′
🟨 Jorginho
Ahmet Muhamedbegović 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
Dimitar Mitrovski 🟨
47′
56′
🟨 Dan Glazer
59′
⚽ D. Satpaev 0–1
Jorginho
D. Kojic 🔁
↦ D. Mitrovski
60′
1–1 D. Pinto ⚽
Diga
66′
67′
🔁 A. Mrynskiy
↦ V. Gromyko
68′
🔁 Edmilson
↦ Jorginho
A. Bristric 🔁
↦ M. Brest
76′
77′
🔁 R. Bagdat
↦ J. Stanojev
I. Durdov 🔁
↦ A. Tamm
81′
82′
🟨 Ramazan Bagdat
Admir Bristrić 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 A. Sadybekov
↦ D. Kasabulat
90′
🔁 A. Shirobokov
↦ D. Satpaev
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Olimpija Ljubljana

36 G. Fink G
28 Diga D
4 V. Jelenkovic D
17 A. Muhamedbegovic D
11 A. Blanco M
23 D. Pinto M
6 P. Agba M
34 A. Doffo M
10 D. Mitrovski M
24 A. Tamm F
18 M. Brest M
Bench (12)
44 V. Zakrajsek
52 M. Dajcar
2 A. Bristric
3 J. Urbancic
9 D. Kojic
16 J. Celhaka
19 I. Durdov
21 M. Pedreno
27 F. Ananou
30 J. Gorenc
45 M. Acimovic
81 Z. Pecjak

Kairat Almaty

4-3-3
1 A. Zarutskiy G
4 D. Kasabulat M
14 A. Martynovich D
80 E. Sorokin D
3 L. Mata D
33 J. Stanojev M
18 D. Glazer M
20 E. Tapalov D
55 V. Gromyko M
7 Jorginho M
9 D. Satpaev F
Bench (10)
77 T. Anarbekov
82 S. Kalmurza
6 A. Sadybekov
10 G. Zaria
24 A. Mrynskiy
25 A. Shirobokov
26 Edmilson
59 D. Tashpulatov
81 I. Bekbolat
89 R. Bagdat

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Vergetis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.