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Conference League
Referee: Szabolcs Kovacs
Floriana
T S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Haverfordwest County AFC
T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Floriana Haverfordwest County AFC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
25%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Floriana Haverfordwest County AFC
20′
🟨 Greg Walters
27′
⚽ B. Ahmun 0–1
B. Fawcett
Matteja Veselji 🟨
34′
36′
🟨 Kyle McCarthy
1–1 G. Gamarra ⚽
F. Varela
42′
45′
🟨 Alaric Jones
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Grech ⚽
59′
T. Glisovic 🔁
↦ M. Veselji
69′
70′
🔁 E. Scotcher
↦ A. Jones
Charles M'Mombwa 🟨
72′
77′
🔁 O. Jones
↦ B. Ahmun
87′
🟨 Elliot Scotcher
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Floriana

4-3-3
23 G. Cioletti
77 A. Garzia D
2 L. Lopez D
34 I. Mendonca D
25 G. Gamarra D
24 C. M'Mombwa M
12 D. Vella M
8 J. Grech M
70 M. Veselji D
19 M. Jah F
10 F. Varela M
Bench (11)
1 Y. Fillion
7 A. De Flavia
11 Z. Scerri
13 D. Farrugia
14 E. Micallef
17 O. Spiteri
18 N. Cassar
20 E. Piscopo
21 C. Zammit Lonardelli
27 T. Glisovic
99 N. Zerafa

Coach: Augusto Daniel Portela da Silva

Haverfordwest County AFC

3-5-2
31 L. Rees
2 D. Rees M
17 K. McCarthy D
5 A. Jones D
7 R. Watts M
8 C. Shephard
10 D. Hawkins F
18 G. Walters M
3 R. Abbruzzese M
9 B. Fawcett F
28 B. Ahmun F
Bench (9)
1 I. Knott
26 C. Mathias
4 E. Scotcher
14 L. Owen
21 A. Watkins
23 W. Hughes
24 I. Humphreys
20 O. Jones
27 O. James

Coach: Anthony Pennock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.