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Europa League
Referee: G Nyberg
Lyon
S S S T S
2–2
Full-time
Man United
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,1
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,76 xG 1,22
54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lyon Man United
1–0 T. Almada ⚽
25′
31′
🟨 Diogo Dalot
Half-time 1–1
50′
⚽ L. Yoro 1–1
M. Ugarte
A. Lacazette 🔁
↦ P. Akouokou
51′
52′
🟨 Manuel Ugarte
63′
🔁 J. Zirkzee
↦ R. Højlund
72′
🔁 M. Mount
↦ M. Ugarte
78′
🟨 Mason Mount
Nicolás Tagliafico 🟨
79′
83′
🔁 V. Lindelöf
↦ H. Maguire
83′
🔁 K. Mainoo
↦ A. Garnacho
88′
⚽ J. Zirkzee 1–2
Bruno Fernandes
94′
🟨 Kobbie Mainoo
2–2 R. Cherki ⚽
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lyon

4-3-1-2
23 Lucas Perri G
98 A. Maitland-Niles D
22 Clinton Mata D
19 M. Niakhaté D
3 N. Tagliafico D
7 J. Veretout M
8 C. Tolisso M
4 P. Akouokou M
32 T. Almada M
18 R. Cherki F
69 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (12)
10 A. Lacazette
93 A. Rodríguez
50 L. Diarra
53 M. de Carvalho
27 W. Omari
40 R. Descamps
29 E. Molébé
20 S. Kumbedi
41 T. Barišić
55 D. Ćaleta-Car
31 N. Matić
16 Abner

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Man United

3-4-3
24 A. Onana G
3 N. Mazraoui D
5 H. Maguire D
15 L. Yoro D
20 Diogo Dalot M
25 M. Ugarte M
18 Casemiro M
13 P. Dorgu M
17 A. Garnacho F
9 R. Højlund F
8 Bruno Fernandes F
Bench (12)
11 J. Zirkzee
7 M. Mount
2 V. Lindelöf
37 K. Mainoo
22 T. Heaton
14 C. Eriksen
87 G. Kukonki
1 A. Bayındır
64 J. Moorhouse
80 J. Kamason
41 H. Amass
23 L. Shaw

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.