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Eliteserien
Referee: Kringstad
Brann
S T U T S
2–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,47 xG 0,84
56% Possession 44%
18 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 10
4 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 11. · Stromsgodset 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 3 2 0 1 +4 -2.9 6
2 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +4 +3.2 6
3 Rosenborg 2 2 0 0 +2 +3.8 6
4 Sarpsborg 08 2 1 1 0 +2 +0.4 4
5 Valerenga 3 1 1 1 +0 +0.1 4
6 Stromsgodset 2 1 0 1 +4 +0.8 3
7 Sandefjord 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.8 3
8 Viking 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.4 3
9 KFUM Oslo 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.2 3
10 Kristiansund 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.2 3
11 Brann 2 1 0 1 -1 +1.3 3
12 Tromso 2 1 0 1 -1 +2.0 3
13 Ham-Kam 2 1 0 1 -2 -1.1 3
14 Bryne 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.0 0
15 Molde 2 0 0 2 -5 -0.8 0
16 Haugesund 2 0 0 2 -6 -5.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Stromsgodset
44′
🟨 Fredrik Kristensen Dahl
1–0 N. Castro
45′
Half-time 1–1
50′
M. Farji 1–1
M. Mehnert
60′
🔁 N. Moller
↦ E. Melkersen
60′
🔁 L. Tomasson
↦ F. Dahl
D. De Roeve 🔁
↦ T. Pedersen
61′
Denzel De Roeve 🟨
65′
2–1 F. Myhre
J. Soltvedt
70′
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ U. Mathisen
72′
M. Sande 🔁
↦ E. Gudmundsson
72′
R. Holten 🔁
↦ J. Sery Larsen
72′
Joachim Soltvedt 🟨
74′
82′
🔁 F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
↦ M. Farji
89′
🔁 S. A. Marcello Silalahi
↦ K. Krasniqi
89′
🔁 A. Heredia-Randen
↦ M. Mehnert
M. Haaland 🔁
↦ N. Castro
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
23 T. Pedersen D
26 E. Fauske Helland D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
17 J. Soltvedt D
19 E. Gudmundsson M
10 E. Kornvig M
8 F. Myhre M
14 U. Mathisen F
20 A. Heggebo F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (9)
3 F. Knudsen
7 M. Hansen
11 B. Finne
12 M. Borsheim
21 D. De Roeve
27 M. Sande
32 M. Haaland
41 L. Remmem
43 R. Holten

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 P. Bratveit G
26 L. Vilsvik D
25 J. Taaje D
71 G. Valsvik D
27 F. Dahl
10 H. Stengel M
8 K. Krasniqi M
77 M. Mehnert
22 J. Therkelsen M
21 M. Farji M
9 E. Melkersen F
Bench (7)
5 B. Sormo
6 S. A. Marcello Silalahi
7 N. Moller
15 A. Heredia-Randen
16 F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
17 L. Tomasson
24 E. H. Johansen

Coach: Dag-Eilev Akkerhaugen Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.