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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Stromsgodset
U S T U T
1–2
Full-time
Stabaek
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
25%
63%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 13. · Stabaek 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 8 6 2 0 +10 20
2 Odd 9 6 0 3 +1 18
3 Brann 9 5 2 2 +13 17
4 Sarpsborg 08 9 5 2 2 +8 17
5 Stabaek 8 4 2 2 +4 14
6 Aalesund 9 4 2 3 +1 14
7 Valerenga 9 4 1 4 -1 13
8 Sandefjord 9 4 1 4 -3 13
9 Molde 9 3 2 4 +0 11
10 Sogndal 9 3 2 4 -1 11
11 Haugesund 9 3 2 4 -2 11
12 Tromso 8 2 3 3 -2 9
13 Stromsgodset 8 2 3 3 -4 9
14 Kristiansund 9 2 2 5 -7 8
15 Lillestrom 9 2 1 6 -7 7
16 Viking 9 1 1 7 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Stabaek
35′
T. Brochmann 0–1
T. Lumanza
1–1 E. Andersen
41′
Half-time 1–1
63′
🔁 H. Vetlesen
↦ T. Lumanza
Francisco Junior 🟨
74′
M. Tagbajumi 🔁
↦ Marcus Pedersen
75′
79′
O. Omoijuanfo 1–2
T. Brochmann
P. Engblom 🔁
↦ Bassel Jradi
84′
T. Nguen 🔁
↦ K. Tokstad
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-4-1-1
1 E. Pettersen G
25 S. Ringstad D
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
11 K. Tokstad M
23 E. Andersen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
33 M. Tagbajumi
9 P. Engblom
93 T. Nguen
3 J. Parr
4 K. Madsen
12 R. Janukiewicz
13 C. Sivodedov

Coach: T. Skullerud

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sayouba G
6 H. Skogseid D
3 M. Skjønsberg D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
18 J. Moe D
89 T. Brochmann M
67 T. Lumanza M
8 E. Ba M
28 L. Kassi M
11 M. Njie M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
Bench (7)
25 H. Vetlesen
7 R. Gyasi
9 S. Mauritz-Hansen
21 D. Granli
22 G. Singh
45 M. Olsen
79 S. Pedersen

Coach: T. Ordinas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.