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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Stromsgodset
T U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 9. · Sarpsborg 08 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 Sarpsborg 08 6 4 0 2 +7 12
3 Stabaek 6 4 0 2 +4 12
4 Brann 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Molde 7 3 2 2 +4 11
6 Aalesund 7 3 2 2 +1 11
7 Haugesund 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Odd 6 3 0 3 -4 9
9 Stromsgodset 6 2 2 2 -2 8
10 Sandefjord 6 2 1 3 -2 7
11 Tromso 6 2 1 3 -2 7
12 Valerenga 6 2 0 4 -3 6
13 Lillestrom 6 2 0 4 -5 6
14 Kristiansund 6 2 0 4 -6 6
15 Viking 6 1 1 4 -3 4
16 Sogndal 6 1 1 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08
30′
M. Lund Nielsen 0–1
J. Lindberg
42′
🟨 Sigurd Rosted
45′
🟨 Matti Lund Nielsen
Half-time 1–1
1–1 E. Andersen
46′
C. Sivodedov 🔁
↦ Bassel Jradi
46′
64′
🔁 A. Østli
↦ J. Jørgensen
T. Nguen 🔁
↦ Marcus Pedersen
72′
75′
🔁 K. Diatta
↦ J. Lindberg
83′
🔁 J. Tveita
↦ T. Heintz
T. Høiland 🔁
↦ K. Tokstad
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-4-2
1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
5 J. Glesnes D
11 K. Tokstad M
23 E. Andersen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
33 M. Tagbajumi F
Bench (7)
13 C. Sivodedov
93 T. Nguen
7 T. Høiland
4 K. Madsen
25 S. Ringstad
12 R. Janukiewicz
9 P. Engblom

Coach: T. Skullerud

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-2-2
21 A. Kristiansen
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
15 S. Rosted D
2 A. Albech D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
6 A. Trondsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
14 T. Heintz M
10 J. Lindberg F
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
20 A. Østli
19 K. Diatta
22 J. Tveita
18 T. Hovda
1 S. Čupić
3 H. Toivomäki
29 A. Groven

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.