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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Sarpsborg 08
S S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Brann
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,3
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 54%
54%
54%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Corners 7
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 3. · Brann 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 13 7 4 2 +19 25
2 Rosenborg 13 7 4 2 +10 25
3 Sarpsborg 08 13 7 3 3 +10 24
4 Valerenga 14 6 3 5 +1 21
5 Odd 13 6 3 4 +0 21
6 Molde 13 6 2 5 +5 20
7 Aalesund 13 5 4 4 +2 19
8 Haugesund 13 5 3 5 -1 18
9 Stabaek 13 5 3 5 -4 18
10 Lillestrom 14 5 2 7 -3 17
11 Sandefjord 13 5 2 6 -5 17
12 Sogndal 13 4 4 5 -1 16
13 Stromsgodset 13 3 5 5 -5 14
14 Kristiansund 13 3 4 6 -7 13
15 Tromso 13 3 4 6 -9 13
16 Viking 13 2 2 9 -12 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
1–0 K. Zachariassen
J. Tveita
22′
35′
🟨 Fredrik Haugen
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 D. Vega
↦ K. Skaanes
67′
🟨 Deyver Vega
71′
🔁 P. Larsen
↦ J. Orlov
73′
V. Wormgoor 1–1
F. Haugen
T. Heintz 🔁
↦ K. Diatta
82′
85′
🟨 Amin Nouri
89′
🔁 A. Karadas
↦ G. Sørensen
T. Hovda 🔁
↦ O. Halvorsen
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
15 S. Rosted D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
22 J. Tveita D
6 A. Trondsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
19 K. Diatta F
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
14 T. Heintz
18 T. Hovda
1 S. Čupić
2 A. Albech
13 O. Hansen
20 A. Østli
45 J. Larsen

Coach: G. Bakke

Brann

4-3-3
24 P. Leciejewski
33 A. Nouri D
15 B. Acosta D
3 V. Wormgoor D
21 R. Kristiansen D
17 G. Sørensen F
8 F. Haugen M
23 S. Nilsen M
9 K. Skaanes M
25 D. Braaten F
10 J. Orlov F
Bench (7)
19 D. Vega
7 P. Larsen
18 A. Karadas
1 A. Horwath
5 J. Grønner
6 V. Jonsson
11 S. Skålevik

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.