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Eliteserien

Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes

Sarpsborg 08

S T U U S

2–0

Full-time

Valerenga

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

56%

44%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

78%

56%

Both score Ø 61%

78%

44%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 4. · Valerenga 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	6	3	1	+9	21
2	Brann	10	6	2	2	+14	20
3	Odd	9	6	0	3	+1	18
4	Sarpsborg 08	9	5	2	2	+8	17
5	Stabaek	9	5	2	2	+5	17
6	Aalesund	9	4	2	3	+1	14
7	Valerenga	9	4	1	4	-1	13
8	Sandefjord	9	4	1	4	-3	13
9	Tromso	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Molde	9	3	2	4	+0	11
11	Sogndal	10	3	2	5	-2	11
12	Haugesund	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Stromsgodset	9	2	3	4	-5	9
14	Lillestrom	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Kristiansund	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Viking	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	Odd	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Rosenborg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Sarpsborg 08	5	3	1	1	+8	10
5	Stabaek	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Valerenga	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Sogndal	5	2	1	2	+5	7
9	Kristiansund	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Sandefjord	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Molde	4	2	0	2	+3	6
12	Aalesund	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Tromso	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Haugesund	4	1	2	1	-1	5
15	Viking	5	1	0	4	-2	3
16	Lillestrom	5	1	0	4	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Aalesund	5	2	2	1	+0	8
3	Brann	5	2	1	2	+1	7
4	Stabaek	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Tromso	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Haugesund	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Odd	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	Lillestrom	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Molde	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Sogndal	5	1	1	3	-7	4
13	Valerenga	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Stromsgodset	4	0	1	3	-7	1
15	Viking	4	0	1	3	-8	1
16	Kristiansund	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.