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Conference League
Referee: M Milanović
AIK
T U S T S
2–0
Full-time
Vorskla Poltava
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Vorskla Poltava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Jul -22 Vorskla Poltava – AIK 3–2

Match report

AIK Vorskla Poltava
Erick Otieno 🟨
27′
30′
🔁 A. Chelyadin
↦ G. Zajkov
45′
🟨 Vincent Thill
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Mendes ⚽
48′
74′
🔁 Felipe Rodrigues
↦ V. Thill
74′
🔁 D. Kravchuk
↦ Marlyson
A. Ahmed Fatah 🔁
↦ Y. Ayari
78′
83′
🟨 Felipe Rodrigues
88′
🟨 Andriy Batsula
95′
🔁 A. Kulakovskyi
↦ D. Oliynyk
E. Ring 🔁
↦ J. Mendes
103′
B. Mbunga-Kimpioka 🔁
↦ N. Stefanelli
103′
N. Bahoui 🔁
↦ J. Guidetti
105′
J. Ceesay 🔁
↦ C. Shichenje
105′
2–0 A. Björnström ⚽
107′
108′
🟨 Dmytro Riznyk
114′
🟨 Serhiy Yavorskiy
Nabil Bahoui 🟨
117′
119′
🟨 David Puclin
Bilal Hussein 🟨
121′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

AIK

4-4-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
2 J. Mendes D
29 C. Shichenje D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
25 E. Otieno D
26 Y. Ayari M
7 S. Larsson M
8 B. Hussein M
12 A. Björnström D
9 N. Stefanelli F
11 J. Guidetti F
Bench (10)
18 A. Ahmed Fatah
34 E. Ring
22 B. Mbunga-Kimpioka
10 N. Bahoui
24 J. Ceesay
20 Z. Elbouzedi
40 D. Henareh
30 H. Meja
23 B. Janošević
33 M. Lustig

Coach: B. Grzelak

Vorskla Poltava

4-4-2
31 D. Riznyk G
4 I. Perduta D
3 G. Zajkov D
13 S. Yavorskyi D
29 A. Batsula D
19 Y. Kozyrenko M
28 D. Puclin M
7 D. Oliynyk M
10 V. Thill M
11 R. Stepanyuk F
33 Marlyson F
Bench (12)
38 A. Chelyadin
95 Felipe Rodrigues
14 D. Kravchuk
15 A. Kulakovskyi
35 D. Izotov
5 N. Yakubu
45 M. Melnychuk
44 D. Khrypchuk
51 P. Isenko
21 O. Tkachenko
40 D. Chernysh
27 I. Krupskyi

Coach: V. Skripnik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Milanović · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.