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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Nyberg
Elfsborg
T S U S U
2–2
Full-time
AIK
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg AIK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 48%
42%
54%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 48%
58%
38%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elfsborg 8. · AIK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 12 7 4 1 +8 25
2 Djurgarden 13 7 3 3 +16 24
3 Malmo FF 14 7 3 4 +5 24
4 AIK 13 7 3 3 +3 24
5 Hammarby 12 6 3 3 +10 21
6 Kalmar 12 6 2 4 +5 20
7 Goteborg 12 6 2 4 +4 20
8 Elfsborg 12 5 4 3 +11 19
9 Mjallby 12 5 4 3 +2 19
10 Sirius 12 5 2 5 -5 17
11 Norrkoping 13 4 4 5 +1 16
12 Varberg 13 4 2 7 -11 14
13 Varnamo 12 3 3 6 -5 12
14 Sundsvall 12 3 0 9 -17 9
15 Degerfors 13 2 2 9 -17 8
16 Helsingborg 13 1 3 9 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elfsborg AIK
17′
N. Stefanelli 0–1
A. Milošević
1–1 G. Henriksson
J. Larsson
25′
André Rømer 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–2
49′
B. Mbunga-Kimpioka 1–2
N. Stefanelli
S. Strand 🔁
↦ O. Zandén
59′
S. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ N. Söderberg
60′
A. Bernhardsson 🔁
↦ R. Alm
60′
67′
🔁 Y. Ayari
↦ S. Larsson
1–3 N. Stefanelli
own goal
71′
75′
🔁 N. Bahoui
↦ B. Mbunga-Kimpioka
J. Okkels 🔁
↦ J. Ondrejka
76′
85′
🟨 Zachary Elbouzedi
M. Baidoo 🔁
↦ P. Frick
86′
89′
🔁 J. Mendes
↦ Z. Elbouzedi
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Elfsborg

4-3-3
31 T. Rönning G
24 J. Larsson D
15 L. Väisänen D
4 G. Henriksson D
29 O. Zandén D
6 A. Rømer M
10 S. Olsson M
28 N. Söderberg M
7 J. Ondrejka F
17 P. Frick F
21 R. Alm F
Bench (7)
20 S. Strand
11 S. Guðjohnsen
12 A. Bernhardsson
19 J. Okkels
13 M. Baidoo
30 H. Valdimarsson
5 M. Jarjué

Coach: J. Thelin

AIK

4-4-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
33 M. Lustig D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
5 A. Milošević D
12 A. Björnström M
25 E. Otieno D
7 S. Larsson M
20 Z. Elbouzedi M
22 B. Mbunga-Kimpioka F
8 B. Hussein M
9 N. Stefanelli F
Bench (7)
26 Y. Ayari
10 N. Bahoui
2 J. Mendes
23 B. Janošević
34 E. Ring
30 H. Meja
29 C. Shichenje

Coach: B. Grzelak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.