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Conference League
Referee: A Ghaltakchyan
0–4
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tuzla City AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,7
2,2
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,7
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
0,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%
5 Shots 19
0 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Tuzla City AZ Alkmaar
Ajdin Nukić 🟨
9′
34′
D. de Wit 0–1
37′
🟨 Jens Odgaard
Half-time 0–1
N. Gavrić 🔁
↦ A. Hrkać
46′
50′
🟨 Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Nebojša Gavrić 🟨
54′
55′
🔁 M. Lahdo
↦ J. Odgaard
61′
Vangelis Pavlidis 0–2
62′
🔁 A. Witry
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
62′
🔁 F. Midtsjø
↦ T. Reijnders
63′
M. Lahdo 0–3
A. Eleouet 🔁
↦ S. Smajlagić
73′
F. Ferreyra 🔁
↦ A. Nukić
73′
76′
🔁 Y. Barası
↦ Vangelis Pavlidis
76′
🔁 F. de Jong
↦ D. de Wit
81′
F. de Jong 0–4
H. Karić 🔁
↦ H. Karjašević
85′
A. Mendeš 🔁
↦ P. Mišić
88′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Tuzla City

4-2-3-1
27 N. Fejzić G
7 A. Nukić D
6 M. Šukilović D
23 J. Čeliković M
29 D. Mehidić D
17 H. Karjašević M
28 A. Hrkać D
14 M. Kuzmanović M
24 P. Mišić M
21 B. Mešinović M
9 S. Smajlagić F
Bench (8)
8 N. Gavrić
10 A. Eleouet
35 F. Ferreyra
20 H. Karić
40 A. Mendeš
22 S. Burić
15 S. Nargalić
1 B. Brajlović

Coach: D. Jović

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
12 H. Verhulst G
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
31 S. Beukema D
4 B. Martins Indi M
5 M. Kerkez D
24 T. Reijnders M
10 D. de Wit M
20 J. Clasie D
18 H. Evjen F
9 Vangelis Pavlidis F
7 J. Odgaard F
Bench (12)
23 M. Lahdo
15 A. Witry
6 F. Midtsjø
17 Y. Barası
32 F. de Jong
13 S. Westerveld
22 M. Dekker
28 Z. Buurmeester
1 P. Vindahl
19 J. Duin
33 M. van Brederode
14 P. Koopmeiners

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.