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Conference League
Referee: T Klíma
FC Astana
T
0–1
Full-time
Rakow
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Astana Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
5,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+1,5
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
5,0
Conceded
5,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3 Corners 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Jul -22 Rakow – FC Astana 5–0

Match report

FC Astana Rakow
16′
⚽ V. Kochergin 0–1
21′
🟨 Zoran Arsenić
32′
🟨 Sebastian Musiolik
T. Dosmagambetov 🔁
↦ A. Aymbetov
32′
Half-time 0–1
Mikhail Gabyshev 🟨
47′
56′
🔁 I. Sapała
↦ G. Papanikolaou
Max Ebong 🟨
69′
S. Basmanov 🔁
↦ Bryan
74′
77′
🔁 F. Piasecki
↦ S. Musiolik
78′
🔁 S. Czyż
↦ V. Kochergin
Y. Pertsukh 🔁
↦ J. Manzorro
82′
83′
🔁 V. Gutkovskis
↦ M. Wdowiak
83′
🔁 Fábio Sturgeon
↦ B. Lederman
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

FC Astana

4-1-4-1
55 A. Zarutskiy G
5 M. Gabyshev D
32 T. Kusyapov D
33 D. Beskorovainyi D
6 Bryan D
23 D. Polyakov D
7 M. Ebong M
9 R. Vloet M
14 J. Manzorro M
77 Pedro Eugénio M
17 A. Aymbetov F
Bench (9)
27 T. Dosmagambetov
72 S. Basmanov
28 Y. Pertsukh
13 K. Hovhannisyan
20 V. Prokopenko
10 M. Tomasov
22 S. Sagnayev
34 M. Milošević
3 A. Rakhmanov

Coach: S. Blagojević

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
4 S. Svarnas D
24 Z. Arsenić D
3 M. Rundić D
7 F. Tudor M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
8 B. Lederman M
23 P. Kun M
17 M. Wdowiak F
9 S. Musiolik F
30 V. Kochergin M
Bench (9)
10 I. Sapała
99 F. Piasecki
55 S. Czyż
21 V. Gutkovskis
70 Fábio Sturgeon
71 W. Długosz
16 O. Krzyżak
12 K. Trelowski
76 J. Rajczykowski

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.