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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Sandefjord
T S U T T
3–0
Full-time
Tromso
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,7
This season — Eliteserien · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 26%
31%
20%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 13. · Tromso 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 17 10 5 2 +20 35
2 Brann 16 7 6 3 +17 27
3 Sarpsborg 08 16 7 6 3 +10 27
4 Molde 16 8 3 5 +9 27
5 Stabaek 17 7 4 6 -4 25
6 Aalesund 16 6 4 6 +2 22
7 Valerenga 15 6 4 5 +1 22
8 Haugesund 15 6 4 5 +1 22
9 Lillestrom 17 6 4 7 -1 22
10 Odd 15 6 4 5 -4 22
11 Sogndal 17 5 5 7 -6 20
12 Stromsgodset 16 4 6 6 -5 18
13 Sandefjord 16 5 3 8 -10 18
14 Kristiansund 16 4 5 7 -6 17
15 Tromso 15 3 5 7 -11 14
16 Viking 16 2 4 10 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Tromso
1–0 E. Mjelde
1′
5′
🟨 Ulrik Jenssen
2–0 J. Solberg
5′
Abdoulaye Seck 🟨
20′
Half-time 2–0
H. Lorentzen 🔁
↦ F. Kastrati
50′
67′
🟨 Aron Sigurðarson
S. Shamohammad 🔁
↦ Pau Morer
68′
3–0 H. Lorentzen
E. Mjelde
69′
70′
🔁 J. Gundersen
↦ S. Vuk
82′
🔁 H. Norbye
↦ M. Ødegaard
82′
🔁 F. Michalsen
↦ C. Landu Landu
85′
🟨 Fredrik Michalsen
L. Grorud 🔁
↦ A. Seck
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sandefjord

3-5-2
1 I. Jónsson G
17 J. Solberg M
4 C. Reppesgård
3 A. Seck D
16 E. Kane D
8 E. Mjelde M
9 H. Storbæk M
18 W. Kurtovic M
22 A. Sødlund M
6 Pau Morer M
11 F. Kastrati F
Bench (7)
21 H. Lorentzen
25 S. Shamohammad
2 L. Grorud
12 Ø. Øvretveit
13 M. Naglestad
20 K. Jablinski
30 O. Breistøl

Coach: L. Bohinen

Tromso

4-4-1-1
1 G. Kongshavn G
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
17 A. Sigurdarson F
8 U. Jenssen D
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
10 T. Olsen F
23 G. Åsen F
9 S. Vuk F
Bench (5)
26 J. Gundersen
14 H. Norbye
27 F. Michalsen
15 M. Andersen
28 J. Karlstrom

Coach: B. Flovik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.