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Eliteserien
Referee: Trond Ivar Dovle
Brann
U S U U T
0–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
8 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Brann 3. · Sarpsborg 08 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 17 10 5 2 +20 35
2 Molde 17 8 4 5 +9 28
3 Brann 16 7 6 3 +17 27
4 Sarpsborg 08 16 7 6 3 +10 27
5 Haugesund 16 7 4 5 +3 25
6 Stabaek 17 7 4 6 -4 25
7 Valerenga 15 6 4 5 +1 22
8 Aalesund 17 6 4 7 +0 22
9 Lillestrom 17 6 4 7 -1 22
10 Odd 16 6 4 6 -6 22
11 Sandefjord 17 6 3 8 -7 21
12 Sogndal 17 5 5 7 -6 20
13 Stromsgodset 17 4 7 6 -5 19
14 Kristiansund 16 4 5 7 -6 17
15 Tromso 16 3 5 8 -14 14
16 Viking 17 3 4 10 -11 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Sarpsborg 08
20′
🟨 Andreas Albech
Torgeir Borven 🟨
31′
Bismar Acosta 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
62′
🟨 Anders Trondsen
J. Orlov 🔁
↦ T. Børven
66′
73′
🔁 T. Hovda
↦ A. Trondsen
P. Larsen 🔁
↦ K. Barmen
75′
80′
🔁 J. Lindberg
↦ T. Heintz
A. Karadas 🔁
↦ K. Skaanes
85′
88′
🟨 Andreas Albech
88′
🟥 Andreas Albech
90′
🔁 J. Tveita
↦ K. Diatta
93′
P. Mortensen 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 A. Horwath G
33 A. Nouri D
15 B. Acosta D
3 V. Wormgoor D
21 R. Kristiansen D
17 G. Sørensen F
8 F. Haugen M
23 S. Nilsen M
29 K. Barmen M
9 K. Skaanes M
22 T. Børven F
Bench (7)
10 J. Orlov
7 P. Larsen
18 A. Karadas
5 J. Grønner
6 V. Jonsson
11 S. Skålevik
12 M. Pettersen

Coach: L. Nilsen

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
16 J. Thomassen D
20 A. Østli D
15 S. Rosted D
2 A. Albech D
7 O. Halvorsen M
6 A. Trondsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
14 T. Heintz M
19 K. Diatta F
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
18 T. Hovda
10 J. Lindberg
22 J. Tveita
1 S. Čupić
13 O. Hansen
23 K. Hansen
44 E. Fejzullahu

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Trond Ivar Dovle · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.