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Conference League
Referee: L Cibelli
AEK Larnaca
S U U T T
0–2
Full-time
Paks
T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca Paks
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jul -24 Paks – AEK Larnaca 3–0

Match report

AEK Larnaca Paks
Bruno Gama 🟨
19′
19′
⚽ Z. Haraszti 0–1
Ángel García 🟨
35′
37′
🟨 Attila Osváth
42′
⚽ K. Papp 0–2
Half-time 0–2
H. Miličević 🔁
↦ F. Sánchez
46′
G. Naoum 🔁
↦ M. Rohdén
59′
Fran Sol 🔁
↦ E. Cabrera
59′
60′
🔁 D. Böde
↦ B. Tóth
60′
🔁 B. Szabó
↦ Z. Haraszti
Clarismario Rodrigues 🔁
↦ I. Faraj
67′
73′
🟨 Gabor Vas
74′
🔁 B. Balogh
↦ K. Papp
M. Demetriou 🔁
↦ Bruno Gama
77′
81′
🔁 K. Kovács
↦ A. Osváth
81′
🔁 E. Silye
↦ J. Windecker
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Alomerović G
28 F. Sánchez D
22 G. Ekpolo D
27 V. Roberge D
14 Ángel García D
8 M. Rohdén M
6 Jimmy M
11 I. Faraj M
10 M. Diemers M
16 Bruno Gama M
19 E. Cabrera F
Bench (12)
15 H. Miličević
29 G. Naoum
9 Fran Sol
20 Clarismario Rodrigues
23 M. Demetriou
51 A. Paraskevas
47 D. Vasiliou
24 D. Henriques
38 I. Toumpas
34 A. Kapsis
42 M. Petousis
30 H. Andreou

Coach: Juan Ferrando

Paks

5-3-2
1 P. Szappanos G
11 A. Osváth M
23 B. Ötvös M
12 G. Vas D
24 B. Lenzsér D
30 J. Szabó D
22 J. Windecker M
5 B. Vécsei M
21 K. Papp M
29 B. Tóth F
10 Z. Haraszti F
Bench (12)
13 D. Böde
27 B. Szabó
8 B. Balogh
20 K. Kovács
14 E. Silye
26 S. Mezei
77 Z. Gévay
25 B. Simon
17 B. Kocsis
15 D. Zimonyi
7 A. Skribek
31 V. Borsos

Coach: G. Bognár

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.