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Conference League
Referee: M Redder
St Mirren
S T U T U
4–1
Full-time
Valur Reykjavik
U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Valur Reykjavik
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
0,0
2,7
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jul -24 Valur Reykjavik – St Mirren 0–0

Match report

St Mirren Valur Reykjavik
1–0 S. Rooney ⚽
16′
32′
🔁 B. Sævarsson
↦ G. Tryggvason
Half-time 2–0
2–0 T. Olusanya ⚽
52′
62′
🔁 G. Unnarsson
↦ S. Lárusson
3–0 M. O'Hara ⚽
65′
O. Smyth 🔁
↦ D. Adeniran
71′
J. Scott 🔁
↦ T. Olusanya
71′
E. Bwomono 🔁
↦ S. Rooney
71′
A. Iacovitti 🔁
↦ R. Taylor
71′
75′
⚽ T. Haraldsson 3–1
81′
🔁 Ó. Finsen
↦ P. Pedersen
4–1 A. Iacovitti ⚽
87′
F. Taylor 🔁
↦ R. Idowu
89′
90′
🟨 Ólafur Karl Finsen
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-3-3
1 E. Balcombe G
19 S. Rooney D
22 M. Fraser D
5 R. Taylor D
21 J. Brown M
23 D. Adeniran M
13 A. Gogić D
6 M. O'Hara M
7 J. Ayunga F
20 T. Olusanya F
12 R. Idowu M
Bench (12)
8 O. Smyth
14 J. Scott
42 E. Bwomono
4 A. Iacovitti
30 F. Taylor
26 L. Kenny
24 L. Jamieson
34 E. Sutherland
31 S. Kelly
33 E. Mooney
27 P. Urminský
3 S. Tanser

Coach: S. Robinson

Valur Reykjavik

4-4-2
1 F. Schram G
3 H. Gunnarsson D
21 J. Pálsson D
6 B. Antonsson D
11 S. Lárusson D
8 J. Jónsson M
17 L. Heimisson M
10 K. Sigurðsson M
14 G. Tryggvason M
9 P. Pedersen
12 T. Haraldsson M
Bench (9)
2 B. Sævarsson
16 G. Unnarsson
71 Ó. Finsen
15 H. Eyjólfsson
20 O. Ómarsson
4 E. Helgason
25 S. Ágústsson
31 Ö. Kristinsson
26 Ó. Stephensen

Coach: A. Grétarsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Redder · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.