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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Lillestrom
T S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Start
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,7
5,0
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
2,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
17 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 16. · Start 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 4 3 0 1 +3 9
2 Sarpsborg 08 4 2 2 0 +4 8
3 Haugesund 4 2 1 1 +3 7
4 Brann 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Valerenga 4 2 0 2 -4 6
6 Rosenborg 4 1 2 1 +3 5
7 Stromsgodset 3 1 2 0 +3 5
8 Kristiansund 4 1 1 2 -1 4
9 Odd 4 1 1 2 -1 4
10 Sandefjord 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Tromso 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Start 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Ranheim 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Bodo/Glimt 4 1 0 3 -4 3
15 Stabaek 3 0 2 1 -3 2
16 Lillestrom 3 0 1 2 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Start
1–0 T. Olsen
32′
Half-time 1–0
K. Ødemarksbakken 🔁
↦ A. Melgalvis
46′
46′
🔁 T. Christensen
↦ N. Sandberg
Stefan Antonijevic 🟨
61′
70′
🔁 M. Bringaker
↦ A. Sigurdarson
73′
🟨 Damion Lowe
G. Martin 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
82′
84′
🔁 I. Twum
↦ A. Aremu
E. Brenden 🔁
↦ E. Knudtzon
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
25 M. Igonen G
13 F. Kippe D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
22 S. Antonijevic D
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
9 G. Martin
15 E. Brenden
1 M. Marić
8 C. Ezeh
24 E. Sandberg
26 L. Ranger

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Start

4-3-3
1 H. Opdal
2 E. Käck D
6 S. Larsen D
31 D. Lowe D
27 E. Wichne D
11 A. Sigurdarson F
21 N. Sandberg M
5 A. Hadzic M
4 A. Aremu M
22 Kristján Finnbogason F
7 K. Kabran F
Bench (7)
10 T. Christensen
20 M. Bringaker
18 I. Twum
19 K. Skaanes
17 G. Tryggvason
3 E. Berger
45 B. Boujar

Coach: M. Dempsey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.