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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Valerenga

S U U U S

1–0

Full-time

Stabaek

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Stabaek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

44%

11%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 5. · Stabaek 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	9	8	1	0	+14	25
2	Rosenborg	9	5	3	1	+8	18
3	Haugesund	9	5	2	2	+4	17
4	Ranheim	9	5	2	2	+3	17
5	Valerenga	9	4	3	2	+2	15
6	Molde	9	4	2	3	+2	14
7	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Odd	9	4	1	4	+0	13
9	Tromso	9	3	2	4	+1	11
10	Kristiansund	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	Lillestrom	9	3	1	5	-3	10
12	Stromsgodset	9	2	3	4	+1	9
13	Bodo/Glimt	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Stabaek	9	1	4	4	-7	7
15	Sandefjord	9	1	2	6	-9	5
16	Start	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Tromso	5	3	1	1	+8	10
3	Ranheim	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Odd	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Molde	5	3	0	2	+5	9
6	Rosenborg	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Haugesund	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Lillestrom	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Kristiansund	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Stromsgodset	5	1	2	2	+1	5
12	Stabaek	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Valerenga	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Start	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Sandefjord	5	0	2	3	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Valerenga	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Haugesund	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Rosenborg	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Ranheim	4	2	1	1	-2	7
6	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Bodo/Glimt	5	1	2	2	-2	5
8	Molde	4	1	2	1	-3	5
9	Stromsgodset	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Kristiansund	5	0	3	2	-2	3
11	Lillestrom	5	1	0	4	-4	3
12	Odd	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Sandefjord	4	1	0	3	-6	3
14	Stabaek	5	0	2	3	-7	2
15	Start	4	0	1	3	-6	1
16	Tromso	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.